Connecticut United vs New York City II: match statistics
Connecticut United vs New York City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connecticut United play New York City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. New York City II: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connecticut United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. New York City II scores 1.69 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connecticut United 78%, New York City II 63%. Over 2.5: Connecticut United 83%, New York City II 63%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.36. Connecticut United: 13.9 shots per match, New York City II: 11.0.
Match halves
Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. New York City II: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). New York City II: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a win for the home side Connecticut United. In the last 5 matches they have scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) with 3 wins, while New York City II have 9 goals in that period (1.8 per game). At home Connecticut generate 1.72 xG and concede only 1.09 xG (xG balance +0.63), whereas visitors on the road have 1.53 xG and concede 1.59 xG (balance −0.06), which favors the quality of Connecticut’s offensive chances. Connecticut also registers significantly more on-target shots at home (6.2 vs 4.33 on-target shots for the visitors away), with a similar goals-per-game average (1.2 vs 1.17), so the advantage appears to come from better chance conversion. The risk on the home side is a higher share of home matches without scoring (40% vs 33% for the visitors) and a worse league position (24 vs 15), but a similar average goals conceded (1.4 vs 1.33) limits the visitors’ edge. Considering the home side’s positive xG balance (+0.63) and 14 goals in the last 5 games, I give a slight edge to Connecticut United.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City II is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United · 2.6 pts / match - New York City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.69 goals / match - New York City II
New York City II is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.44 goals / match - New York City II
Connecticut United scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
New York City II scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Connecticut United
Over / Under — New York City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City II is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Connecticut United · 1.69 pts / match - New York City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connecticut United
New York City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.23 | ▼ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Connecticut United 0 - 0 - 1 New York City II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs New York City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 1:4 New York City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs New York City II?
Connecticut United score 1.83 goals per game on average and New York City II 1.69. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 63% of New York City II's.
What form are Connecticut United and New York City II in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and New York City II 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs New York City II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.