Connecticut United vs Toronto II: match statistics
Connecticut United vs Toronto II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connecticut United play Toronto II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 13 July 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Toronto II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connecticut United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Toronto II scores 1.58 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connecticut United 78%, Toronto II 58%. Over 2.5: Connecticut United 83%, Toronto II 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.27. Connecticut United: 13.9 shots per match, Toronto II: 10.1.
Match halves
Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Toronto II: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Toronto II: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates an advantage for Connecticut United: hosts score on average 1.43 goals per home match with average xG 1.67, while Toronto II scores 1.22 goals away with xG 1.21. In the last 5 matches Connecticut has scored 13 goals (2.6 per match) and averaged 1.8 points per match, whereas Toronto has only 5 goals in five games (1.0 per match) and 0.6 points per match. Defensively the visitors perform worse: Toronto concedes 1.89 goals on average away and have conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches, while the hosts concede 1.71 at home and had 9 goals conceded in those five games. Connecticut also creates more chances — on average 13.71 shots and 6 shots on target per home match versus Toronto’s 9.89 shots and 4.33 on target — and the visitors fail to score in 56% of away matches compared to 29% for the hosts. Considering form (3 wins in the last 5 for the hosts), the xG advantage (1.67 vs 1.21) and a clearly superior chance-creation profile, I assess probabilities as: home 65%, draw 20%, away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United · 0.6 pts / match - Toronto II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.58 goals / match - Toronto II
Connecticut United is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.89 goals / match - Toronto II
Connecticut United scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Toronto II scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Connecticut United
Over / Under — Toronto II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toronto II is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Connecticut United · 1.47 pts / match - Toronto II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connecticut United
Toronto II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Connecticut United 1 - 0 - 1 Toronto II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs Toronto II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 3:2 Toronto II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connecticut United and Toronto II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Connecticut United won 1, Toronto II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs Toronto II?
Connecticut United score 1.83 goals per game on average and Toronto II 1.58. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 58% of Toronto II's.
What form are Connecticut United and Toronto II in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Toronto II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs Toronto II?
The statistical background for Connecticut United vs Toronto II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.