Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corinthians play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Arena Corinthians. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Corinthians: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corinthians scores 1.00 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corinthians 50%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Corinthians 33%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.24. Corinthians: 11.8 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Corinthians: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Corinthians: 16-30 (4 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast a home win ('1'). Corinthians average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in home matches, with average xG for 1.30 vs xG against 1.19 and 38% clean sheets, indicating defensive stability at home. Atlético Mineiro has a better season goal tally (21 vs 14) and higher away xG for (1.44 vs 1.30) and more shots on target (4.25 vs 3.75), but 63% of their away matches end without scoring and 75% of away games are losses, which significantly reduces their effectiveness on the road. Both teams have identical 1.6 points per game in the last 5 fixtures, and in the last 5 matches Corinthians scored 7 goals vs 9 for Atlético, so the offenses are similar. Considering the hosts' superior defensive stability, higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 13%) and Atlético's negative away GD (-2), I assess the probabilities as 50% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 20% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corinthians | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corinthians is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Corinthians · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Corinthians is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Corinthians scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Corinthians
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Corinthians · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corinthians
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Corinthians | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Corinthians 1 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Corinthians 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
Corinthians score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Corinthians's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Corinthians have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


