Corinthians vs São Paulo: match statistics
Corinthians vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corinthians play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Corinthians: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. São Paulo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corinthians scores 1.00 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.28 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corinthians 50%, São Paulo 56%. Over 2.5: Corinthians 33%, São Paulo 39%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
São Paulo has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.24. Corinthians: 11.8 shots per match, São Paulo: 11.8.
Match halves
Corinthians: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. São Paulo: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Corinthians: 16-30 (4 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X) because both teams generate almost identical expected scoring chances: Corinthians averages 1.23 xG at home, while São Paulo averages 1.20 xG away. Despite similar xG, actual goals are low — Corinthians score 0.71 goals per home match on average, and São Paulo 0.86 away; average total goals are 1.57 in Corinthians home matches versus 2.00 in São Paulo away matches, with average shots on target 3.43 vs 3.71. São Paulo holds a seasonal advantage in league position and goal output (4th with 19 goals vs 16th with 10 goals for Corinthians) and a higher shot conversion rate (8% vs 6%), increasing their scoring potential. However, Corinthians defend better at home statistically — conceding just 0.86 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 43% of games, whereas São Paulo concede 1.14 goals away and have only 14% matches without conceding, which offsets the visitors’ edge. Additionally, the hosts are in better recent form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per match) versus São Paulo (2 wins, 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per match), so I assign the highest probability to a draw (40%), and 30% to each team winning.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corinthians | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corinthians is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Corinthians · 0.4 pts / match - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.28 goals / match - São Paulo
Corinthians is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.11 goals / match - São Paulo
Corinthians scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
São Paulo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Corinthians
Over / Under — São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Paulo is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Corinthians · 1.22 pts / match - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corinthians
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Corinthians | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Corinthians 1 - 0 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Corinthians vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Corinthians 3:2 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Corinthians and São Paulo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1, São Paulo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Corinthians vs São Paulo?
Corinthians score 1.00 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.28. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Corinthians's matches and 56% of São Paulo's.
What form are Corinthians and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Corinthians have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and São Paulo 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corinthians vs São Paulo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corinthians vs São Paulo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.