Coritiba vs Bahia: match statistics
Coritiba vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coritiba play Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 May 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Coritiba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bahia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coritiba scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coritiba 44%, Bahia 71%. Over 2.5: Coritiba 44%, Bahia 59%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bahia has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.09. Coritiba: 10.2 shots per match, Bahia: 13.9.
Match halves
Coritiba: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.72. Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Coritiba: 31-45+ (6 goals). Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Data indicate an edge for Bahia in chance quality and possession: the visitors average 11.86 shots and 4.86 on target away with xG 1.39, while Coritiba at home averages 10.29 shots, 3 on target and xG 1.06. Bahia is less often shut out (FTS 14% vs 29% for Coritiba), which increases the likelihood they will score. Coritiba, however, has a solid home defense, conceding only 0.86 goals per game and holding a +1 home goal difference, while Bahia concedes 1.43 goals away and has an away goal difference of -1. Recent form over the last 5 matches is poor on both sides (Coritiba 1 win, PPG 0.8; Bahia 0 wins, PPG 0.6), but Bahia’s season away win rate of 57% offsets the short-term slump. As a result I give a slight edge to the visitors due to higher xG and more shots on target (1.39 vs 1.06 xG, 4.86 vs 3 SOT) — probabilities: Coritiba 25%, draw 30%, Bahia 45%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coritiba | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Coritiba is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Coritiba · 1 pts / match - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Coritiba · 1.47 goals / match - Bahia
Coritiba scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Bahia scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Coritiba
Over / Under — Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coritiba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coritiba
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Coritiba | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Coritiba vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Coritiba 3:2 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coritiba vs Bahia?
Coritiba score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.47. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Coritiba's matches and 71% of Bahia's.
What form are Coritiba and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Coritiba have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bahia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coritiba vs Bahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.