Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of September 12, 2026

Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante: match statistics

Correcaminos UAT crest
Correcaminos UAT
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Atlante crest
Atlante
120%(5.50)
X25%(4.11)
255%(1.44)

Atlante demonstrates significantly higher efficiency this season with 9 wins and a goal difference of +21 compared to just 3 wins and a -25 difference for Correcaminos UAT. The hosts win only 22% of their home matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game, which, given their poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a difficult situation. Atlante wins 44% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which indicates solid defense and efficient attack. The advantage in possession (61% for Atlante vs 43% for the hosts) and higher shot accuracy (17% vs 10%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Despite Atlante's recent poorer run, the class difference between the teams is clear enough that the visitors should secure three points in this clash.

Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Correcaminos UAT played against Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Correcaminos UAT has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Atlante has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Correcaminos UAT scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.32. Atlante scores 2.00 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Correcaminos UAT's games and 42% of Atlante's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlante has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.15 per game. Correcaminos UAT takes 9.2 shots per game, while Atlante takes 16.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Atlante leads at halftime in 42% and scores 1.11 after halftime.

When the teams score

Correcaminos UAT's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Atlante, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Atlante demonstrates significantly higher efficiency this season with 9 wins and a goal difference of +21 compared to just 3 wins and a -25 difference for Correcaminos UAT. The hosts win only 22% of their home matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game, which, given their poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a difficult situation. Atlante wins 44% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which indicates solid defense and efficient attack. The advantage in possession (61% for Atlante vs 43% for the hosts) and higher shot accuracy (17% vs 10%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Despite Atlante's recent poorer run, the class difference between the teams is clear enough that the visitors should secure three points in this clash.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

30Possession (%)70
Correcaminos UATAtlante
4Shots21
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1Shots on target8
Correcaminos UATAtlante
0.53xG2.29
Correcaminos UATAtlante
2Corners7
Correcaminos UATAtlante
27Dangerous attacks58
Correcaminos UATAtlante
21Fouls14
Correcaminos UATAtlante
6Cards4
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Correcaminos UATAtlante
1Goals scored / game2
Correcaminos UATAtlante
2.32Goals allowed / game0.89
Correcaminos UATAtlante
43%Average possession62%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
3.32Shots on target / game6.58
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.16Shots per game16.68
Correcaminos UATAtlante
3.32Shots on target6.58
Correcaminos UATAtlante
10.9%Shot conversion12%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
43%Possession62%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.15xG for1.88
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.81xG against0.98
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Shooting quality

Correcaminos UAT: BalancedAtlante: Dominant
Correcaminos UATAtlante
Accuracy (shots on target)36%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Correcaminos UAT is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 0.4 pts / game - Atlante

Correcaminos UAT
LLDWL
Season result split
16% W26% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-11
0.74 pts / game · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Atlante
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W26% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-5
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlante is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 2 goals / game - Atlante

Atlante is 161% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.32 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 0.89 goals / game - Atlante

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).

Atlante scoring profile: very strong

Atlante scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).

19Goals scored (season)38
Correcaminos UATAtlante
44Goals conceded (season)17
Correcaminos UATAtlante
3.32Average goals per game2.89
Correcaminos UATAtlante
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Correcaminos UATAtlante
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Correcaminos UATAtlante

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal79%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
21%2 goals47%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
5%3 goals37%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
0%4 goals21%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal58%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
63%2 goals16%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
37%3 goals16%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
26%4 goals0%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

63%
Correcaminos UAT - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 19 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time5%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
5%Scored in both halves26%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS32%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
40%BTTS - last 560%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlante is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.47 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.53 pts / game - Atlante

Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
5% leading32% draw63% trailing
Atlante - half-time state
42% leading26% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.47Points per game (1st half)1.53
Correcaminos UATAtlante
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.37
Correcaminos UATAtlante
26%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
74%No goal before half-time58%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.95
Correcaminos UATAtlante
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.11Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Correcaminos UATAtlante
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Correcaminos UATAtlante
32%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Correcaminos UATAtlante
47%No goal after half-time37%
Correcaminos UATAtlante

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

32% W16% D53% L
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding320%

Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlante - second-half results

58% W21% D21% L
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Correcaminos UAT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.20
Goals scored / game0.60.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference0-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atlante - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
1
5
16-30
1
11
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
1
5
16-30
10
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
6
1
61-75
9
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.11
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+93%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
187%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Correcaminos UATLigaAtlante
Average goals per game 3.322.93 2.89
Both teams scored 63%55% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%54% 53%
Clean sheets 16%26% 42%
Goal before half-time 79%75% 74%
Goal after half-time 95%79% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AtlanteYellow cardDiego Andrés Cruz Esparza
  2. AtlanteYellow cardJonathan Jared Tovar Pérez
  3. Correcaminos UATYellow cardVicente Emmanuel Torres Chiriboga
  4. Correcaminos UATYellow cardDaniel Cisneros González
  5. Correcaminos UATYellow cardWalter Oswaldo Ortega Valero
  6. Correcaminos UATYellow cardCésar Sosa Heredia
  7. Correcaminos UATYellow cardJosé Ricardo Galindo Gutiérrez
  8. Correcaminos UATYellow cardDuvan Sterling Mina Marquínez

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jesús Enrique Herrera ArmentaMatches officiated: 11
7.64Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins36%Draws27%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Correcaminos UAT's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlante. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Club Atlante
5 : 1
Correcaminos UAT

FAQ

What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

Correcaminos UAT score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 42% of Atlante's.

What form are Correcaminos UAT and Atlante in?

Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlante 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.