Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT play Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 71%, Atlético Zacatepec 61%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 68%, Atlético Zacatepec 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Zacatepec has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.15. Correcaminos UAT: 9.1 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 12.3.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.71. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win. Correcaminos average 1.23 goals per home match with 4.08 shots on target and a 12% conversion rate, while Atlético on the road average 1.15 goals, 3.77 shots on target and a 10% conversion, giving the home side an edge in chance conversion. Both teams, however, have serious defensive issues — conceding on average 2.15 goals per match and each shipping 12 goals in the last 5 fixtures; xG indicates balanced attacking output (1.30 vs 1.32) with slightly worse xG against for the visitors (1.74 vs 1.61), suggesting greater risk on Atlético’s side. Form is poor: hosts in their last 5 have 1 win and 4 losses (PPG 0.6), visitors 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (PPG 0.8), so effectiveness and chance conversion will be decisive. Given the lower percentage of matches without scoring for the hosts (FTS 15% vs 23%) and higher shot accuracy, I give Correcaminos a narrow advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Zacatepec is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.29 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Atlético Zacatepec is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Correcaminos UAT scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under — Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Zacatepec is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.54 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 1:3 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.07 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The statistical background for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlético Zacatepec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.