Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: match statistics
Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Correcaminos UAT played against Cruz Azul Hidalgo in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Correcaminos UAT has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Cruz Azul Hidalgo has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.90 goals per game and allows 1.80. Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores 1.10 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Correcaminos UAT's games and 50% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Correcaminos UAT has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.45 per game. Correcaminos UAT takes 13.3 shots per game, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Cruz Azul Hidalgo leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Correcaminos UAT's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Cruz Azul Hidalgo, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Correcaminos UAT are the favorites: they average 1.6 goals per match at home, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo score just 0.2 goals per away game and have failed to win any of their last five matches on the road. The hosts create more chances, recording a home xG of 1.71 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.39, and their shot conversion rate is 11% versus their opponents’ 2%. The defensive numbers also favor the hosts: they concede an average of 1.2 goals at home, while the visitors allow as many as 2.4 away from home. Recent form does temper confidence in the prediction, however: Correcaminos have scored 5 goals and conceded 9 in their last five matches, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo have scored 8 and conceded 11. Home advantage and a clear edge in finishing make a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s away scoring record: they average just 0.2 goals on the road and have failed to score in 80% of their away matches. By comparison, Correcaminos UAT average 2.0 goals at home, while their opponents concede 2.4 goals on average away from home, making a home goal more likely than an away goal. However, the picture is not entirely clear-cut: Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s away xG is 1.39, and Correcaminos concede an average of 1.2 goals at home. In addition, the visitors have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, although these figures cover all matches, not just away games. Despite these signs pointing to an away goal, their away scoring record to date carries greater weight in assessing the market, so I expect at least one team to fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ matches. Correcaminos average 2.0 goals at home, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo concede 2.4 per away match, giving the hosts a clear chance to score twice. The visitors have managed just 0.2 goals per away match, although their average xG is 1.39, so I wouldn’t rule out a goal from them either. I expect 2.70 goals in total, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it has been cleared in 60% of the hosts’ matches and 40% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Correcaminos UAT led at the break in 40% of their home matches, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo were trailing at half-time in 60% of their away matches and failed to score in the first half in any of them. The hosts’ likelihood of holding on to their lead is supported by the scoring disparity: at home, they average 2.0 goals per match, whereas the visitors score 0.2 and concede 2.4 away from home. After the break, the visitors concede an average of 1.4 goals, while the hosts score 1.0, making 1/1 the HT/FT outcome best supported by the venue-specific data. However, recent form tempers confidence: Correcaminos were level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, so X/1 remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Correcaminos UAT is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 0.8 pts / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Correcaminos UAT is 73% better for: goals scored per game.
1.9 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.1 goals / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Correcaminos UAT scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Cruz Azul Hidalgo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Correcaminos UAT is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1 pts / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Correcaminos UAT
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.70 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Correcaminos UATSubstitutionOn: Joaquín De Jesús Estopier SarmientoOff: Walter Oswaldo Ortega Valero
- Cruz Azul HidalgoYellow cardJeyson Duran
- Cruz Azul HidalgoYellow cardJeyson Duran
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 0:0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.90 goals per game on average and Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1.10. The Ascenso MX average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 50% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Cruz Azul Hidalgo in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.