Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato: match statistics
Irapuato appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. Correcaminos UAT presents very poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a disastrous -11 goal difference as hosts. The team loses a staggering 55% of matches in front of their home crowd, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per game. Conversely, Irapuato boasts a more solid overall record (10 wins this season) and better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game compared to the hosts' 1.6). The visitors have much better ball possession control (52% vs 44%) and an impressive 36% clean sheets on the road. Considering Correcaminos' defensive frailties and Irapuato's superior quality and form, the visitors have a realistic chance of securing all three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the visitors' high rate of unresolved matches.
Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Correcaminos UAT played against Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Correcaminos UAT has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Irapuato has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 2.14. Irapuato scores 1.64 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Correcaminos UAT's games and 54% of Irapuato's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 61%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Irapuato has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.10 per game. Correcaminos UAT takes 8.4 shots per game, while Irapuato takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Irapuato leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.07 after halftime.
When the teams score
Correcaminos UAT's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Irapuato, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Irapuato appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. Correcaminos UAT presents very poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a disastrous -11 goal difference as hosts. The team loses a staggering 55% of matches in front of their home crowd, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per game. Conversely, Irapuato boasts a more solid overall record (10 wins this season) and better form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game compared to the hosts' 1.6). The visitors have much better ball possession control (52% vs 44%) and an impressive 36% clean sheets on the road. Considering Correcaminos' defensive frailties and Irapuato's superior quality and form, the visitors have a realistic chance of securing all three points, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the visitors' high rate of unresolved matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Irapuato is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.8 pts / game - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 56% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.64 goals / game - Irapuato
Irapuato is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.14 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.43 goals / game - Irapuato
Correcaminos UAT scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Irapuato scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Irapuato is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.14 pts / game - Irapuato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Correcaminos UAT
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.18 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Correcaminos UAT's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Irapuato. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 2:1 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.05 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.64. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 54% of Irapuato's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Irapuato 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Correcaminos UAT vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.