Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: match statistics
Tapatío presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match and winning four of their last five meetings. Correcaminos UAT, on the other hand, is in fatal disposition, with a goal difference of -11 in home matches and only 20% wins at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of 2.2 goals per match at home, which, combined with poor offensive effectiveness (1.1 goals per match), places them in a very unfavorable situation. Although Tapatío does not impress in away matches (20% wins), their current form and advantage in goal difference and general statistics give them a real chance to secure three points. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Tapatío's weaker statistics on the road.
Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Correcaminos UAT played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Correcaminos UAT has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tapatío has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.25. Tapatío scores 1.70 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Correcaminos UAT's games and 60% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tapatío has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.12 per game. Correcaminos UAT takes 8.9 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Correcaminos UAT's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match and winning four of their last five meetings. Correcaminos UAT, on the other hand, is in fatal disposition, with a goal difference of -11 in home matches and only 20% wins at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of 2.2 goals per match at home, which, combined with poor offensive effectiveness (1.1 goals per match), places them in a very unfavorable situation. Although Tapatío does not impress in away matches (20% wins), their current form and advantage in goal difference and general statistics give them a real chance to secure three points. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Tapatío's weaker statistics on the road.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tapatío is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 2.4 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.7 goals / game - Tapatío
Tapatío is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.25 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.3 goals / game - Tapatío
Correcaminos UAT scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
Tapatío scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tapatío is 230% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT · 1.65 pts / game - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Correcaminos UAT
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 2.91 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Correcaminos UAT's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tapatío. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 2:2 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.70. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 60% of Tapatío's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tapatío 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.