Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between two teams from the bottom part of the table. Cove Rangers are in 9th place and exhibit poor home form with only 17% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game. Kelty Hearts in 10th position also display poor away form (27% wins, 55% losses), but boast higher offensive efficiency (1.36 goals on average per away game). The recent form of both teams is poor - Cove Rangers have collected only 1 point in their last 5 matches, while Kelty Hearts have secured 3 points from draws. Considering the high rate of failed matches without goals scored by the hosts (58% FTS) and defensive problems of both sides, I expect a tight, unpredictable encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cove Rangers played against Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Cove Rangers has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cove Rangers scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.36. Kelty Hearts scores 0.88 and allows 2.04. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Cove Rangers's games and 54% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 63%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cove Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 0.98 per game. Cove Rangers takes 9.5 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Cove Rangers leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cove Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between two teams from the bottom part of the table. Cove Rangers are in 9th place and exhibit poor home form with only 17% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game. Kelty Hearts in 10th position also display poor away form (27% wins, 55% losses), but boast higher offensive efficiency (1.36 goals on average per away game). The recent form of both teams is poor - Cove Rangers have collected only 1 point in their last 5 matches, while Kelty Hearts have secured 3 points from draws. Considering the high rate of failed matches without goals scored by the hosts (58% FTS) and defensive problems of both sides, I expect a tight, unpredictable encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cove Rangers | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cove Rangers is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Cove Rangers · 0.6 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cove Rangers is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Cove Rangers · 0.88 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - Cove Rangers · 2.04 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Cove Rangers scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
Kelty Hearts scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cove Rangers is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Cove Rangers · 1.04 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cove Rangers
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cove Rangers | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cove Rangers's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kelty Hearts. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Cove Rangers 0:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cove Rangers and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cove Rangers won 1, Kelty Hearts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts?
Cove Rangers score 1.12 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.88. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Cove Rangers's matches and 54% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Cove Rangers and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Cove Rangers have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.