Crown Legacy vs Chicago Fire II: match statistics

Crown Legacy sit 3rd, while Chicago Fire II are only 17th, with the hosts winning 13 of their 25 matches this season compared to the visitors’ 10 victories. At home, Crown Legacy average 2.17 goals per game and win 67% of their matches, whereas Chicago Fire II score just 1.38 goals away from home and lose 54% of their games. The hosts create slightly better chances, recording an xG of 1.64 compared to the visitors’ 1.51, while also averaging 15 shots per game against their opponents’ 13. Crown Legacy’s defensive edge is crucial: they concede 1.08 goals per home match, while Chicago Fire II allow an average of 1.92 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in just 8% of their appearances. The last five matches do not indicate a clear form advantage, as both teams have won twice, but the hosts’ 9:8 goal difference looks stronger than the visitors’ 8:11.

BTTS - Yes is more likely because Chicago Fire II have recorded this outcome in 77% of their matches, while Crown Legacy have done so in 58%, compared with a league average of 62%. The home side score an average of 2.50 goals per match, while the visitors concede as many as 1.92, which significantly boosts Crown Legacy’s chances of scoring. Chicago Fire II average 1.38 goals scored, while the home defense allows an average of 1.42 goals; additionally, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their matches. In their last five games, both teams had a 60% BTTS rate, while Chicago Fire II conceded 11 goals, or 2.2 per match. The visitors’ high xG over their last five appearances, at 1.99, together with Crown Legacy’s 1.62 xG conceded, indicates that the away side also have solid grounds for finding the net.

Crown Legacy average 2.50 goals per match, while Chicago Fire II concede 1.92, strongly supporting a high scoring projection for the home side. The visitors also have offensive arguments in their favor: they create an average of 1.51 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 1.38 xG. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.8 and 1.6 goals per game respectively, while Chicago Fire II conceded as many as 2.2 goals. At least two goals were scored in 92% of matches involving each team, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 83% and 85% of their league fixtures, respectively. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the season data, the visitors’ current defensive form, and the 3.50-goal projection give this line a clear edge.

The strongest scenario is Crown Legacy leading at the break and securing the victory at the final whistle, as the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 58% of their matches, while Chicago Fire II were trailing at that stage in 38%. The difference is even more pronounced in the last five games: Crown Legacy led at half-time in 60% of their appearances, whereas the visitors were behind in as many as 80%. The hosts average 2.50 goals scored per match and concede 1.42, while Chicago Fire II score 1.38 goals and allow opponents to score 1.92. The quality of chances also favors Crown Legacy, whose average xG stands at 1.82 compared with the visitors’ 1.51, while their shot conversion rate is 18% versus 11% for their opponents. The 1/1 pick is further supported by the hosts’ 67% win rate this season, compared with just 15% for Chicago Fire II, as well as the visitors’ weak defensive record after half-time, conceding an average of 1.23 goals.