Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Crusaders played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on December 30, 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Crusaders has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Crusaders scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 2.00. Carrick Rangers scores 1.16 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Crusaders's games and 63% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 53%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.19 per game. Crusaders takes 9.9 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 9.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Crusaders leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Crusaders's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
9Shots20
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
4Shots on target8
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.33xG2.59
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3Corners5
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
66Dangerous attacks108
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
10Fouls16
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
4Cards0
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.24Goals scored / game1.16
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
2Goals allowed / game1.58
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
51%Average possession44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.38Shots on target / game3.79
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.9Shots per game9.79
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.38Shots on target3.79
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
12.5%Shot conversion11.8%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
51%Possession44%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.19xG for1.29
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.89xG against1.52
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Crusaders: BalancedCarrick Rangers: Balanced
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Crusaders is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Crusaders · 0.4 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W10% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-13
0.95 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Carrick Rangers
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
26% W16% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-11
0.95 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Crusaders is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.24 goals / game - Crusaders · 1.16 goals / game - Carrick Rangers

Carrick Rangers is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Crusaders · 1.58 goals / game - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders scoring profile: strong

Crusaders scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).

26Goals scored (season)22
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
42Goals conceded (season)30
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
3.24Average goals per game2.74
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
2Goals scored (last 5)7
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
12Goals conceded (last 5)12
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal84%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
43%2 goals16%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
19%3 goals11%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
5%4 goals5%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal79%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
57%2 goals58%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
29%3 goals21%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
24%4 goals0%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time26%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves5%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
29%Scored in both halves11%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
24%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
20%BTTS - last 5100%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Crusaders is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Crusaders · 1.05 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Crusaders - half-time state
38% leading10% draw52% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
21% leading42% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)1.05
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.58
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.26
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
33%Clean sheet before half-time42%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
62%No goal before half-time53%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)0.89
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.47
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
29%Clean sheet after half-time42%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers
52%No goal after half-time53%
CrusadersCarrick Rangers

Crusaders - second-half results

19% W43% D38% L
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

16% W42% D42% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Crusaders - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.40
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Carrick Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.20
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.42.0
Average goals per game1.02.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Crusaders
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
11
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
4
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.99
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Crusaders

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

CrusadersLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals per game 3.242.72 2.74
Both teams scored 48%49% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%51% 53%
Clean sheets 10%27% 21%
Goal before half-time 90%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 86%76% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CrusadersYellow cardRoss Clarke
  2. CrusadersGoalFraser Bryden
  3. Carrick RangersGoalJack Scott
  4. CrusadersYellow cardEvan Easton
  5. Carrick RangersGoalBilly Joe BurnsAssist: Aidan Steele
  6. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Scott PengellyOff: Nathan Gartside
  7. CrusadersGoalKurtis Forsythe
  8. Carrick RangersYellow cardMatthew Snoddy
  9. CrusadersYellow cardEvan Easton

Head-to-head

Record from Crusaders's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Carrick Rangers. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Carrick Rangers FC
1 : 2
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
3 : 4
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 2:2 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 1, Carrick Rangers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders score 1.24 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.16. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Crusaders's matches and 63% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Crusaders and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers?

The statistical background for Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.