Crusaders vs Larne: match statistics
Larne sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses, while Crusaders are in 11th place with a negative 7-3-15 record. The visitors' form is clearly superior – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.2 points per game with a 9:2 goal difference, whereas the hosts have managed only 0.8 points per game and a 5:12 goal difference. Larne boasts a solid away defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 42% of matches, which contrasts sharply with Crusaders' fragile home defense that leaks an average of 2.08 goals per game. Furthermore, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches and have lost 67% of their fixtures in front of their own fans. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Larne, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Crusaders' home advantage.
Crusaders vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Crusaders played against Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Crusaders has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Larne has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Crusaders scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 2.00. Larne scores 1.72 and allows 0.44. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Crusaders's games and 32% of Larne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 40%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.21 per game. Crusaders takes 10.0 shots per game, while Larne takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Crusaders leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Larne leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Crusaders's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Larne, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses, while Crusaders are in 11th place with a negative 7-3-15 record. The visitors' form is clearly superior – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.2 points per game with a 9:2 goal difference, whereas the hosts have managed only 0.8 points per game and a 5:12 goal difference. Larne boasts a solid away defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 42% of matches, which contrasts sharply with Crusaders' fragile home defense that leaks an average of 2.08 goals per game. Furthermore, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches and have lost 67% of their fixtures in front of their own fans. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Larne, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Crusaders' home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Crusaders | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Larne is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Crusaders · 2.2 pts / game - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Crusaders · 1.72 goals / game - Larne
Larne is 355% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Crusaders · 0.44 goals / game - Larne
Crusaders scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 60% (15 of 25 meczów).
Larne scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crusaders
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Crusaders · 1.76 pts / game - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crusaders - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 28%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 72%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Crusaders
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Crusaders | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.24 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 28% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Crusaders's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Larne. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Crusaders vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 2:4 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Larne?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Larne?
Crusaders score 1.24 goals per game on average and Larne 1.72. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Crusaders's matches and 32% of Larne's.
What form are Crusaders and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Larne 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Larne?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.