Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio 10 de DiciembreData current as of September 25, 2026

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cruz Azul Hidalgo plays Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio 10 de Diciembre.

Recent form

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.78. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.11 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's games and 67% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.49 per game. Cruz Azul Hidalgo takes 12.6 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Cruz Azul Hidalgo leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cruz Azul Hidalgo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.11Goals scored / game2.11
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.78Goals allowed / game1.33
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
51%Average possession50%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
4.56Shots on target / game4.89
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.56Shots per game11.89
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
4.56Shots on target4.89
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
8.8%Shot conversion17.8%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
51%Possession50%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.49xG for1.54
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.65xG against1.68
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Shooting quality

Cruz Azul Hidalgo: BalancedLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: Efficient finishing
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo · 1.6 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
DWLDL
Season result split
11% W44% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-4
0.78 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
WDWDL
Season result split
56% W22% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-2
1.89 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 90% better for: goals scored per game.

1.11 goals / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo · 2.11 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.78 goals / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo · 1.33 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Cruz Azul Hidalgo scoring profile: strong

Cruz Azul Hidalgo scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 games), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Cruz Azul Hidalgo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

10Goals scored (season)19
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
16Goals conceded (season)12
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
2.89Average goals per game3.44
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal89%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11%2 goals67%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11%3 goals33%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11%4 goals22%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
44%2 goals44%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
22%3 goals11%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11%4 goals0%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 9 games
56%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time33%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
11%Scored in both halves44%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

BTTS and goal count

11%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
40%BTTS - last 580%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 171% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.78 pts / game - Cruz Azul Hidalgo · 2.11 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - half-time state
11% leading44% draw44% trailing
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - half-time state
67% leading11% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.78Points per game (1st half)2.11
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.44Goals scored (1st half)1.44
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.33Average goals (1st half)2
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
33%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
67%No goal before half-time11%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per game (2nd half)1.11
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
67%No goal after half-time56%
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 56%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 37% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Cruz Azul HidalgoLigaLeones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Average goals per game▼ 2.893.22▲ 3.44
Both teams scored▼ 44%56%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 44%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 22%24%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%76%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%79%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+58%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play?

Cruz Azul Hidalgo face Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara on September 26, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio 10 de Diciembre. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?

Cruz Azul Hidalgo score 1.11 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.11. The Ascenso MX average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's matches and 67% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.

What form are Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?

Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul Hidalgo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.