Cruz Azul vs Atlas: match statistics
Cruz Azul vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cruz Azul played against Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on May 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Cruz Azul has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Atlas has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cruz Azul scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 1.13. Atlas scores 1.20 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Cruz Azul's games and 51% of Atlas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 49%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cruz Azul has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.09 per game. Cruz Azul takes 17.2 shots per game, while Atlas takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Cruz Azul leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Atlas leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cruz Azul's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). For Atlas, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruz Azul holds a clear home advantage: the hosts average 2.05 goals per game with an xG of 2.07 at home, while Atlas scores only 0.88 goals away with an xG of 0.94. The difference in chance creation is significant — Cruz Azul averages 19.42 shots and 6.58 on target at home, compared to Atlas’s 9.24 shots and 2.71 on target away. Efficiency and consistency also favor the hosts: Cruz Azul fails to score in only 5% of home matches, has a 68% home win rate and a goal difference of +19, while Atlas wins away in 24% of cases and has a negative goal difference of −16. Defensively the hosts concede 1.05 goals on average at home, whereas Atlas concedes 1.82 away; in the last 5 matches Cruz Azul scored 10 goals (form dddww) and Atlas 4 goals (form dwdwl). Given the xG advantage (2.07 vs 0.94), nearly three times more shots on target (6.58 vs 2.71) and the low share of goalless games for the hosts (5% vs 35%), I expect a Cruz Azul win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The xG-based model yields expected goals of ~1.43 for Cruz Azul (attacking xG 1.23 and xG against Atlas 1.63 → average 1.43) and ~1.25 for Atlas (attacking xG 0.94 and xG against Cruz 1.55 → 1.25); with these values a Poisson distribution translates to roughly a 54% chance for BTTS. Cruz Azul has a season BTTS rate of 56% and BTTS in the last 5 matches was 100%, with an average of 2.0 goals scored across those five games, which increases the likelihood that the home side will both score and concede. Atlas has a season BTTS of 47% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals in the last 5, a season average of 0.88 and only 2.71 shots on target per match, limiting their chances to score on the road. Conversely, Atlas concedes 1.82 goals per game on the season and keeps a clean sheet in just 18% of matches, while Cruz at home have scored 71 goals this season and have a 39% clean sheet rate, so the hosts have a high scoring capacity and Atlas faces a significant risk of conceding. Considering xG (~54%), the hosts’ season BTTS 56% and the league’s high BTTS 59%, combined with Atlas’s attacking weakness, I favor the “BTTS - Yes” scenario and assess the probability of BTTS at 56% vs 44%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculate expected goals: xG Cruz Azul 1.23 and xG against Atlas 1.63 yield an expected 1.43 goals for the home side, while xG Atlas 0.94 and xG against Cruz Azul 1.55 yield 1.25 goals for the away side; total expected goals = 2.68. Seasonal averages confirm the scoring tempo — Cruz Azul scores 1.5 goals on average, Atlas 0.88, and Over 1.5 rates are 67% (Cruz Azul) and 76% (Atlas), supporting a minimum-2-goal scenario. A Poisson model with λ=2.68 gives ~75% probability of at least 2 goals and ~50% probability of 3+ goals, hence the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, the home side averages 11.44 shots (3.72 on target) with a 13% conversion, while the visitors average 9.24 shots (2.71 on target) and a 10% conversion, giving Cruz Azul an offensive edge and supporting the over. Therefore I recommend the Over 1.5 line as the best pick; Over 2.5 is balanced (~50/50), and Over 3.5 looks unlikely (~28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cruz Azul has the advantage at the break: they led at half-time in 44% of matches versus 18% for Atlas, and they average 0.83 goals by half-time compared to 0.35 for their opponents. The home side also register higher xG (1.23 vs 0.94) and more on-target shots (3.72 vs 2.71), which increases the likelihood they will be leading after 45 minutes. After the break Cruz Azul average 1.33 points and record 61% clean second halves, whereas Atlas average 0.82 points and only 28% clean second halves, meaning the visitors more often lose their lead in the second half. Over the full season the hosts win 39% of matches and draw 39%, while Atlas lose 59%, so the strongest signal from the data is Cruz Azul leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cruz Azul | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cruz Azul is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Cruz Azul · 1.6 pts / game - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruz Azul is 52% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - Cruz Azul · 1.2 goals / game - Atlas
Cruz Azul is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Cruz Azul · 1.6 goals / game - Atlas
Cruz Azul scores in 92% of games (36 of 39 meczów), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 meczów).
Atlas scores in 69% of games (24 of 35 meczów), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 39 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruz Azul is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / game - Cruz Azul · 1.31 pts / game - Atlas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cruz Azul
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Cruz Azul | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.95 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 59% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 56% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cruz Azul's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Atlas. Games average 4.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished Cruz Azul 1:0 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Atlas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 2, Atlas won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Cruz Azul score 1.82 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.20. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Cruz Azul's matches and 51% of Atlas's.
What form are Cruz Azul and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
The statistical background for Cruz Azul vs Atlas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.