Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruzeiro play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Cruzeiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruzeiro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruzeiro 67%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Cruzeiro 61%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.45. Cruzeiro: 14.2 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Cruzeiro: 31-45+ (5 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Cruzeiro has a significant home advantage: they score 1.71 goals per home match on average, register 5 shots on target per game and have a conversion rate of 12%, whereas Atlético Mineiro average only 0.71 goals away, 4.29 shots on target and a 5% conversion. The hosts failed to score in only 14% of home matches, while the visitors were blanked in 71% of their away games, which materially limits Atlético’s offensive threat. Defensively Cruzeiro concede 1.00 goal per home game on average and have an opponent xG of 0.94, whereas Atlético away allow 1.49 xG and have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the visitors. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 7 goals and average 2 points per match, the visitors scored 4 goals and average 1.2 points per match; additionally Atlético’s away loss rate is 86% versus 14% for the hosts at home. Since offensive xG are virtually equal (1.56 for Cruzeiro vs 1.53 for Atlético), superior finishing efficiency and a lower share of scoreless home games for the hosts are decisive, therefore I predict a Cruzeiro win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruzeiro | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Cruzeiro · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cruzeiro
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Cruzeiro · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruzeiro
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cruzeiro | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cruzeiro 0 - 2 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Cruzeiro 1:3 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro?
Cruzeiro score 1.33 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cruzeiro's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro?
The statistical background for Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.