Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: match statistics
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cruzeiro played against São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 8, 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Cruzeiro has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. São Paulo has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Cruzeiro scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.43. São Paulo scores 1.18 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Cruzeiro's games and 57% of São Paulo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 39%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cruzeiro has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.47 per game. Cruzeiro takes 14.5 shots per game, while São Paulo takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Cruzeiro leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. São Paulo leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cruzeiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For São Paulo, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruzeiro win 50% of their home matches, while São Paulo win only 14% of their away games and lose as many as 64%. The hosts average 1.71 goals at home against an xG of 1.72, while the visitors score just 0.79 goals away from home against an xG of 1.28. The difference in attacking efficiency is reflected in their last five matches: Cruzeiro have scored 9 goals, compared with just 3 for São Paulo. However, the hosts’ advantage is not clear-cut, as they won 2 and lost 3 of those games, conceding 9 goals in total. Despite this inconsistency, São Paulo’s poor away form and their average of 1.43 goals conceded on the road point to a Cruzeiro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 57% of their matches, while Cruzeiro have recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 games. The hosts average 1.57 goals at home and have an xG of 1.65, while São Paulo concede an average of 1.43 goals away from home, making a Cruzeiro goal likely. The visitors’ goal is less certain: they average 0.79 goals away and have failed to score in 36% of their matches. However, Cruzeiro have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last 5 games, allowing opponents chances worth a combined xG of 2.48 per match, which supports the possibility of São Paulo scoring. I therefore expect both teams to score, although São Paulo’s weaker attacking output makes this a narrow edge rather than a strong one.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 86% of Cruzeiro matches and 93% of São Paulo matches. The hosts average 1.57 goals, while the visitors average 0.79, making a total-goals projection of 2.48 more consistent with a scoreline below this line. In addition, São Paulo failed to score in 36% of matches, while Cruzeiro kept a clean sheet in 36%, making the visitors’ contribution to a high-scoring game uncertain. Cruzeiro’s recent form adds risk: each of their last 5 matches featured at least 3 goals, but this happened only once in São Paulo’s last 5 matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Cruzeiro leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 8 of 14 matches, while São Paulo were trailing at that stage in 7 of 14. In the first half, Cruzeiro average 0.79 goals scored and 0.14 conceded, compared with 0.21 scored and 0.64 conceded by the visitors. The advantage carries through to full-time: the hosts have won 57% of their matches and average 1.57 goals scored, while São Paulo have lost 64% and average 0.79 goals scored. Confidence in this prediction is tempered by Cruzeiro’s recent form—they led at the break only once in their last five matches—so a half-time draw followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cruzeiro | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Cruzeiro · 1.18 goals / game - São Paulo
São Paulo is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Cruzeiro · 1.14 goals / game - São Paulo
Cruzeiro scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 games), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 games).
São Paulo scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 games), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Paulo is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Cruzeiro · 1.43 pts / game - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cruzeiro | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.93 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cruzeiro's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against São Paulo. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Cruzeiro 2:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and São Paulo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1, São Paulo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
Cruzeiro score 1.50 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Cruzeiro's matches and 57% of São Paulo's.
What form are Cruzeiro and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and São Paulo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.