Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Cruzeiro is showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording a three-game winning streak during this period, whereas Vasco da Gama sits at just 1 point per game. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in xG statistics - Cruzeiro generates 1.49 xG per home game while conceding 0.76, demonstrating solid offensive and defensive play. Vasco da Gama has a disastrous away record with a 100% loss rate and concedes an average of 2 goals per game, which, combined with a lack of clean sheets, makes them highly vulnerable. Although Cruzeiro has not yet won a home game this season, their recent form and xG stats suggest they are capable of breaking this streak. A high possession rate (58%) and better chance conversion from the hosts further support the prediction of their victory, although Cruzeiro's poor home efficiency justifies leaving a relatively high probability for a draw.
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cruzeiro played against Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Cruzeiro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Vasco da Gama has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Cruzeiro scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 2.20. Vasco da Gama scores 1.00 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Cruzeiro's games and 80% of Vasco da Gama's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vasco da Gama has the higher season xG average, 2.11 to 1.41 per game. Cruzeiro takes 13.8 shots per game, while Vasco da Gama takes 20.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Cruzeiro leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Vasco da Gama leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cruzeiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Vasco da Gama, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cruzeiro is showing significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game and recording a three-game winning streak during this period, whereas Vasco da Gama sits at just 1 point per game. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in xG statistics - Cruzeiro generates 1.49 xG per home game while conceding 0.76, demonstrating solid offensive and defensive play. Vasco da Gama has a disastrous away record with a 100% loss rate and concedes an average of 2 goals per game, which, combined with a lack of clean sheets, makes them highly vulnerable. Although Cruzeiro has not yet won a home game this season, their recent form and xG stats suggest they are capable of breaking this streak. A high possession rate (58%) and better chance conversion from the hosts further support the prediction of their victory, although Cruzeiro's poor home efficiency justifies leaving a relatively high probability for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cruzeiro | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vasco da Gama is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Cruzeiro · 0.8 pts / game - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vasco da Gama is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Cruzeiro · 1 goals / game - Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.2 goals / game - Cruzeiro · 1.4 goals / game - Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
Vasco da Gama scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruzeiro is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Cruzeiro · 0.6 pts / game - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cruzeiro
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cruzeiro | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cruzeiro's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vasco da Gama. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Cruzeiro 3:3 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro score 0.80 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Cruzeiro's matches and 80% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Cruzeiro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.