CSKA Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
CSKA Sofia presents solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 9 goals in home matches. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5, demonstrating their offensive power. Arda is on a decent undefeated streak in their last 5 matches, yet they only win 44% of the time away and possess significantly weaker xG stats (1.23 vs 2.26 for CSKA). CSKA dominates in possession (59% vs 53%) and takes considerably more shots (19 vs 8.44), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Given the hosts' higher efficiency at their own stadium and superior offensive metrics, CSKA Sofia has a real chance of victory, although Arda's solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make this a tight contest.
CSKA Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CSKA Sofia played against Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
CSKA Sofia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Arda has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
CSKA Sofia scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 0.84. Arda scores 1.05 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of CSKA Sofia's games and 21% of Arda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 32%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CSKA Sofia has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.45 per game. CSKA Sofia takes 16.7 shots per game, while Arda takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
CSKA Sofia leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Arda leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
CSKA Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Arda, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia presents solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 9 goals in home matches. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5, demonstrating their offensive power. Arda is on a decent undefeated streak in their last 5 matches, yet they only win 44% of the time away and possess significantly weaker xG stats (1.23 vs 2.26 for CSKA). CSKA dominates in possession (59% vs 53%) and takes considerably more shots (19 vs 8.44), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Given the hosts' higher efficiency at their own stadium and superior offensive metrics, CSKA Sofia has a real chance of victory, although Arda's solid defense in recent matches (0 goals conceded) could make this a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CSKA Sofia is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 2.2 pts / game - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 1.05 goals / game - Arda
CSKA Sofia is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.84 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 1 goals / game - Arda
CSKA Sofia scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
Arda scores in 47% of games (9 of 19 meczów), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 1.32 pts / game - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CSKA Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.26 | 2.39 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from CSKA Sofia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Arda. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 3:1 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
CSKA Sofia score 1.42 goals per game on average and Arda 1.05. The First League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 21% of Arda's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Arda 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The statistical background for CSKA Sofia vs Arda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.