Bulgaria - First LeagueStadion Bâlgarska ArmijaData current as of October 15, 2026

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: match statistics

CSKA Sofia crest
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1half-time 2:1
Cherno More crest
Cherno More

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

CSKA Sofia played against Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on August 30, 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

CSKA Sofia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Cherno More has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

CSKA Sofia scores 2.60 goals per game and allows 0.60. Cherno More scores 1.17 and allows 2.17. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of CSKA Sofia's games and 67% of Cherno More's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 67%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CSKA Sofia has the higher season xG average, 2.28 to 1.33 per game. CSKA Sofia takes 14.2 shots per game, while Cherno More takes 8.7.

First-half and second-half trends

CSKA Sofia leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.60 goals per game after halftime. Cherno More leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

CSKA Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Cherno More, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First League games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CSKA Sofia have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.33 goals per game, while Cherno More are still without an away victory. The hosts create significantly more danger: their average home xG stands at 2.42 compared with Cherno More’s 1.12 away from home, and they average 9.33 shots on target versus 3.67 for their opponents. The Sofia side also dominate possession (63% to 49%) and have a significantly higher shot conversion rate, 23% compared with 10%. Cherno More concede an average of 2 goals away from home, have kept no clean sheets on the road and have lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall. CSKA Sofia have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 games, but their attacking superiority and outstanding home record strongly point to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is slightly positive, as both CSKA Sofia and Cherno More have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season, while neither team has kept a clean sheet so far. CSKA Sofia create significantly more chances, averaging 1.53 xG and 6.33 shots on target per match, compared with Cherno More’s 1.12 xG and 3.67 shots on target. The hosts are also in good offensive form, scoring 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches, while the visitors conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game over the same period. The risk to the pick is Cherno More’s weaker consistency, with the team scoring only 0.67 goals per match this season. However, their recent average of 1.2 goals and an xG of 1.40 indicate that an away goal remains a realistic outcome. Therefore, the scenario in which both sides score at least once is more likely, although the edge over BTTS - No is not substantial.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

CSKA Sofia have averaged 2.4 goals scored over their last five matches, while Cherno More have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game during this period. The hosts are also creating more chances: their average xG stands at 1.85 compared with 1.40 for the visitors, while their average number of shots on target is 6.33 versus 3.67. Over 2.5 goals has landed in all five of CSKA Sofia’s last matches and in 80% of Cherno More’s games, significantly strengthening the baseline high-scoring scenario. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the season data, and a goal has been scored in 100% of their matches. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as it combines a very high likelihood of at least two goals with the hosts’ attacking form and the visitors’ recent defensive weakness.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

CSKA Sofia have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Cherno More have lost 4 of their last 5, with the average points over this period standing at 1.8 versus 0.6. The hosts have held a lead at the break in 60% of their recent matches and have averaged 1.0 goal before half-time, compared with just 0.4 goals scored by the visitors. CSKA’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: their average xG is 1.53 versus 1.12, while shots on target stand at 6.33 versus 3.67. After the break, the hosts have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five appearances, whereas Cherno More have conceded as many as 1.8, increasing the likelihood of CSKA maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely outcome is therefore CSKA leading at half-time and securing victory at the final whistle: 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

63Possession (%)37
CSKA SofiaCherno More
11Shots5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
4Shots on target3
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.43xG0.88
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0Corners2
CSKA SofiaCherno More
61Dangerous attacks47
CSKA SofiaCherno More
10Fouls11
CSKA SofiaCherno More
4Cards4
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

CSKA SofiaCherno More
2.6Goals scored / game1.17
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.6Goals allowed / game2.17
CSKA SofiaCherno More
62%Average possession52%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
8.6Shots on target / game5
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.2Shots per game8.67
CSKA SofiaCherno More
8.6Shots on target5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
18.3%Shot conversion13.5%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
62%Possession52%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
2.28xG for1.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.23xG against1.26
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Shooting quality

CSKA Sofia: DominantCherno More: Efficient finishing
CSKA SofiaCherno More
Accuracy (shots on target)61%58%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

CSKA Sofia is 333% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 0.6 pts / game - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.28Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Cherno More
LLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CSKA Sofia is 122% better for: goals scored per game.

2.6 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 1.17 goals / game - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia is 262% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - CSKA Sofia · 2.17 goals / game - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia scoring profile: very strong

CSKA Sofia scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

Cherno More scoring profile: mixed

Cherno More scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

13Goals scored (season)7
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3Goals conceded (season)13
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3.2Average goals per game3.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
13Goals scored (last 5)6
CSKA SofiaCherno More
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
CSKA SofiaCherno More

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%2 goals33%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%3 goals17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%4 goals0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal100%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%2 goals50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%3 goals50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%4 goals17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%BTTS in both halves0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%Scored in both halves17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%BTTS - last 560%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CSKA Sofia is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - CSKA Sofia · 1 pts / game - Cherno More

CSKA Sofia - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Cherno More - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)1
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%No goal before half-time67%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

After half-time (2nd half)

2.6Points per game (2nd half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
CSKA SofiaCherno More
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
CSKA SofiaCherno More
1.8Average goals (2nd half)2.5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
80%Clean sheet after half-time17%
CSKA SofiaCherno More
20%No goal after half-time50%
CSKA SofiaCherno More

CSKA Sofia - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cherno More - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.2

Allows 1.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

CSKA Sofia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.60
Goals scored / game1.01.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Cherno More - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.8
Average goals per game1.02.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

CSKA Sofia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Cherno More
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.27
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

CSKA Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Cherno More

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.91
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

CSKA SofiaLigaCherno More
Average goals per game▲ 3.202.70▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▼ 40%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%52%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 60%24%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%82%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / game
1.14
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CSKA SofiaYellow cardMohamed Amine Brahimi
  2. Cherno MoreYellow cardVentsislav Kerchev
  3. CSKA SofiaGoalJoël ZwartsAssist: Ioannis Pittas
  4. Cherno MoreYellow cardLuciano Gastón Squadrone
  5. Cherno MoreYellow cardDavid Miguel Delfino Teles
  6. CSKA SofiaYellow cardFacundo Rodríguez
  7. Cherno MoreYellow cardZhivko Atanasov
  8. CSKA SofiaYellow cardFedor Lapoukhov
  9. Cherno MoreSubstitutionOn: Jorge Padilla SolerOff: Georgi Antoanov Lazarov
  10. Cherno MoreSubstitutionOn: João Vitor Rodrigues BandaroOff: Asen Donchev
  11. CSKA SofiaSubstitutionOn: Santiago Leandro GodoyOff: Ioannis Pittas
  12. CSKA SofiaYellow cardPetko Hristov Panayotov
  13. Cherno MoreSubstitutionOn: Idris BounaasOff: David Miguel Delfino Teles

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from CSKA Sofia's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Cherno More. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

PFC Cherno More Varna
2 : 0
PFC CSKA Sofia
PFC CSKA Sofia
0 : 0
PFC Cherno More Varna

FAQ

What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?

The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 3:1 Cherno More. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Cherno More?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 0, Cherno More won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?

CSKA Sofia score 2.60 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.17. The First League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 40% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 67% of Cherno More's.

What form are CSKA Sofia and Cherno More in?

Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Cherno More 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.