CSM Satu Mare vs ASU Poli Timişoara: match statistics

ASU Poli Timişoara lead the table and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 2. CSM Satu Mare remain winless after 5 rounds, with a record of 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last five games and a 0:10 goal difference. At home, the hosts are yet to score, average just 2 shots on target per match and have been wasteful despite an xG of 1.11. Away from home, the visitors create significantly more, averaging 1.77 xG, 14.5 shots and 6 shots on target per game, while also scoring an average of 3 goals. The difference in attacking quality and current form strongly points to another victory for the Timişoara side.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as CSM Satu Mare have failed to score in any of their last 5 matches, despite their opponents conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. The hosts also have a 0% rate of matches with both teams scoring, both across the entire season and in their last five outings, while their current xG stands at just 1.01. ASU Poli Timişoara are in excellent form, with five consecutive wins, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 5 games, and their average xG against is 0.89, further limiting the hosts’ goal prospects. Although the visitors’ seasonal BTTS rate is 100%, the current imbalance in attacking and defensive form more clearly supports a scenario in which at least CSM Satu Mare fail to score.

ASU Poli Timişoara are in excellent form: they have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 per game, while conceding just 2. Over the same period, CSM Satu Mare have failed to score a single goal and conceded an average of 2.0, significantly limiting the prospects of a high-scoring contribution from the home side. The visitors generate an average of 1.77 xG, while the hosts have managed just 1.01 xG in their last five appearances, making a controlled match with the advantage to the visitors the most likely scenario. Although Poli averaged 3.0 goals in away matches, their defense allowed only 1.12 xG in those games, while the Under 3.5 goals line covers scorelines such as 0:2, 0:3, and 1:2. The case for Under 3.5 is further strengthened by the fact that CSM Satu Mare have not exceeded this line in any home match in the current data.

ASU Poli Timişoara are in significantly better recent form: they have won their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.4, while CSM Satu Mare have failed to win any of those games, scoring 0.0 goals and conceding an average of 2.0. Before half-time, the hosts have failed to score in their last five appearances, were behind in 60% of cases and conceded an average of 1.0 goal, whereas the visitors scored an average of 1.0 and allowed their opponents just 0.2. The Timişoara side were not trailing at the break in any of their last five matches, taking the lead in 40% of them, which clearly supports their advantage in the first half. After the break, the visitors still look solid, averaging 1.4 goals per match and winning the second half in all five of their last appearances, while conceding an average of just 0.2 goals. The most likely outcome is therefore ASU Poli Timişoara leading at the break and maintaining their victory until full-time, although a draw at half-time remains a realistic alternative.