CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: match statistics
CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CSM Satu Mare played against Dumbrăviţa in Liga II (Romania). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
CSM Satu Mare has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Dumbrăviţa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
CSM Satu Mare scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 2.14. Dumbrăviţa scores 1.14 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of CSM Satu Mare's games and 64% of Dumbrăviţa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CSM Satu Mare has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.19 per game. CSM Satu Mare takes 9.7 shots per game, while Dumbrăviţa takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
CSM Satu Mare leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Dumbrăviţa leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
CSM Satu Mare's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Dumbrăviţa, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga II games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dumbrăviţa appears to be the favorite, having won 3 of the last 5 matches and averaging 2.0 points per game over that span, while CSM Satu Mare has only 0.8 points and 1 win in their last 5. Home side creation is in favor of CSM — at home they average 11.1 shots with 3.4 on target and xG 1.43, whereas Dumbrăviţa on the road averages 7.64 shots, 2.82 on target and xG 1.03. Despite that, efficiency favors the visitors: Dumbrăviţa has a 17% conversion rate versus the hosts' 11% and, with similar goals per game (1.17 vs 1.2), converts chances better. Defensively CSM is weaker — they concede 2.4 goals on average at home and have conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while Dumbrăviţa concedes 1.75 on the road and only 2 goals in their last 5. Considering the visitors' 2.0 points per game, superior 17% efficiency and the hosts' defensive issues (seasonal goals conceded 47 versus 34 for Dumbrăviţa), I forecast a Dumbrăviţa victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key season indicators favor BTTS: CSM Satu Mare have BTTS in 70% of matches, Dumbrăviţa in 58% (league average 49%), providing a strong seasonal signal of both teams scoring and conceding. xG and shot metrics point to vulnerable defenses and goal potential — xG against the home side is 1.73, against the visitors 2.14, with attacking xG 1.36 for the home team and 1.03 for the visitors, yielding estimated expected goals of roughly 1.75 for the home side and 1.38 for the visitors. Form over the last 5 matches is mixed: hosts had BTTS in 40% with an average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, while visitors had 20% BTTS with 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded, suggesting the visitors have recently kept clean sheets more often. Hosts average 4.1 shots on target and 10.3 shots per game, visitors 2.82 and 7.64, and the visitors’ higher conversion rate of 17% versus the hosts’ 11% increases the likelihood that the visitors will convert their chances. Considering the dominant seasonal BTTS rates (70% and 58%), vulnerable defenses by xG (1.73 and 2.14) and mixed but not dominant recent form, I assess BTTS probability at 68% vs 32% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a goals advantage — I expect a total of 3.13 goals (CSM Satu Mare 1.75 and Dumbrăviţa 1.38), i.e. Over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a high percentage of BTTS matches: 70% for the home side and 58% for the visitors, while clean sheet rates are low (30% and 17%), increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. Dumbrăviţa concedes 2.14 xG per away match on average, CSM 1.73 xG, and season Over 2.5 percentages are 50% for both teams against a league average of 2.72 goals per match — this supports an approximate 68% probability for Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches CSM has xG for 1.5 and has scored 5 while conceding 9, and Dumbrăviţa has xG for 1.22 with 4 scored and 2 conceded, which limits the chance of a very high-scoring game (Over 3.5 estimated at ~36%). Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors (Dumbrăviţa) led at the break in 5 matches this season, representing 42% of appearances, and in the last 5 fixtures they held a lead at the break in 60% of cases, demonstrating strong starts. In their last 5 matches the visitors won 60% of games, and their shot conversion rate is 17% versus the hosts’ 11%, so they are better at turning chances into goals. The hosts generate higher average xG (1.36 vs 1.03), more shots (10.3 vs 7.64) and more shots on target (4.1 vs 2.82), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Second halves favor the hosts (they earned 14 points and averaged 1.4 points in second halves versus 12 points and 1.0 for the visitors, with second-half wins at 30% for the hosts vs 17% for the visitors), however given the parameters for leading at the break and the visitors’ form the most credible scenario from the data is the visitors leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time. On that basis I recommend HT/FT: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CSM Satu Mare | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dumbrăviţa is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - CSM Satu Mare · 2 pts / game - Dumbrăviţa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dumbrăviţa is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - CSM Satu Mare · 1.14 goals / game - Dumbrăviţa
Dumbrăviţa is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.14 goals / game - CSM Satu Mare · 1.55 goals / game - Dumbrăviţa
CSM Satu Mare scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Dumbrăviţa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Dumbrăviţa scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while CSM Satu Mare keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSM Satu Mare
Over / Under - Dumbrăviţa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dumbrăviţa is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / game - CSM Satu Mare · 1.14 pts / game - Dumbrăviţa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSM Satu Mare - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dumbrăviţa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CSM Satu Mare
Dumbrăviţa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| CSM Satu Mare | Liga | Dumbrăviţa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CSM Satu Mare's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dumbrăviţa. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
The Liga II match finished CSM Satu Mare 3:2 Dumbrăviţa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
CSM Satu Mare score 0.86 goals per game on average and Dumbrăviţa 1.14. The Liga II average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CSM Satu Mare's matches and 64% of Dumbrăviţa's.
What form are CSM Satu Mare and Dumbrăviţa in?
Over the last 5 games CSM Satu Mare have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Dumbrăviţa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.