CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari: match statistics
CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CSM Satu Mare played against Tunari in Liga II (Romania). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
CSM Satu Mare has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Tunari has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CSM Satu Mare scores 1.23 goals per game and allows 1.96. Tunari scores 0.92 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of CSM Satu Mare's games and 62% of Tunari's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CSM Satu Mare has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.22 per game. CSM Satu Mare takes 10.3 shots per game, while Tunari takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
CSM Satu Mare leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Tunari leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
CSM Satu Mare's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Tunari, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga II games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back CSM Satu Mare to win (1) because the hosts have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches and won 4 of 5, averaging 2.4 points per game, while Tunari scored only 5 goals in the same period and average 1.4 points per game. At home CSM averages 1.58 goals with 4.17 shots on target and 53% possession, whereas Tunari away average just 0.92 goals, 2.54 shots on target and 47% possession, giving the hosts an advantage in chance creation. Home xG for the hosts is 1.54 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.06, and shot conversion is 13% for CSM versus 11% for Tunari, so finishing quality favors the hosts. Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities — the hosts concede 2.17 goals on average at home, Tunari concede 1.54 away, while visitors have a higher average xG against (1.75), suggesting greater susceptibility to high-quality chances. Considering the superiority in chance volume (11.92 vs 8.31 average shots per game), better xG and clearly superior form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game over the last 5), I assess probabilities as: home 62%, draw 20%, away 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 62% (home 62%, away 62%) and 60% in the last 5 matches for both, meaning roughly 6 in 10 fixtures saw both sides score. Very low clean sheet rates — 8% for home and 8% for away — and average goals conceded 1.85 (home) and 1.54 (away) indicate keeping a clean sheet is rare. In the short term the home side scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per match, xG 1.67), while the away side has 5 goals in the last 5 (1.0 per match, xG 1.29) and conceded 8 goals (1.6 per match), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Season xGA are 2.05 for home and 1.75 for away, and shots on target 3.69 vs 2.54 suggest both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. Therefore I prefer BTTS - Yes (75% vs 25%) because the combination of 62% season BTTS, 60% in the last 5 matches and only 8% clean sheets provides the strongest signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.58 expected goals for CSM Satu Mare and 1.55 for Tunari (total 3.13), based on xG: the home side averages 1.40 xG, the away side 1.06 xG, while the home defense concedes 2.05 xG versus 1.75 xG for the visitors. Both teams have 85% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals (seasonOver15 85% for both), and the home team has 100% of home matches with at least 1 goal, which is a strong argument for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line, season rates are 54% Over 2.5 for the home team and 46% for the away team (league 49%), but in the last 5 matches the home side had 80% Over 2.5 and the visitors 60%, so the model rates Over 2.5 at roughly 62%. Over 3.5 is a weaker signal — the seasonal percentage is only 23% for both teams and although the home team scored 13 goals in 5 matches (avg. 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded), the probability for Over 3.5 remains low (~30%), so the best and strongest pick from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I assess the most likely scenario as a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time: the average of half-time draw percentages is (38% for home + 54% for away)/2 = 46%, while home teams led at the break in 0% of their matches and away teams in 23%. I assume that about 40% of those half-time draws will remain draws after 90 minutes, yielding roughly an 18% overall probability for X/X. Additionally, the away side has a high draw rate (drawPercentage_away 46%) and a low average of goals conceded by half-time (concededAVGHT_away 0.38 vs concededAVGHT_home 1.08), which limits quick turnarounds after the break. On the other hand, the home team responds strongly after the interval (they win the second half in 54% of matches and have scored on average 2.0 goals after half-time in the last 5 games), so the X/1 (16%) and 2/1 (14%) scenarios have been given significant weight as realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CSM Satu Mare | Tunari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CSM Satu Mare is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - CSM Satu Mare · 1.4 pts / game - Tunari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSM Satu Mare is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.23 goals / game - CSM Satu Mare · 0.92 goals / game - Tunari
Tunari is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.96 goals / game - CSM Satu Mare · 1.69 goals / game - Tunari
CSM Satu Mare scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Tunari keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 meczów).
Tunari scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while CSM Satu Mare keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSM Satu Mare
Over / Under - Tunari
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSM Satu Mare - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tunari - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CSM Satu Mare
Tunari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| CSM Satu Mare | Liga | Tunari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.19 | 2.70 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 82% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CSM Satu MareGoalKévin Mbala
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CSM Satu Mare's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tunari. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari?
The Liga II match finished CSM Satu Mare 1:1 Tunari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari?
CSM Satu Mare score 1.23 goals per game on average and Tunari 0.92. The Liga II average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of CSM Satu Mare's matches and 62% of Tunari's.
What form are CSM Satu Mare and Tunari in?
Over the last 5 games CSM Satu Mare have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tunari 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.