Cumbayá vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics
Cumbayá vs Gualaceo SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cumbayá play Gualaceo SC in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 8 April 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cumbayá: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gualaceo SC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cumbayá scores 1.12 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Gualaceo SC scores 0.76 and concedes 0.65. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cumbayá 47%, Gualaceo SC 29%. Over 2.5: Cumbayá 41%, Gualaceo SC 12%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Gualaceo SC has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.14. Cumbayá: 7.0 shots per match, Gualaceo SC: 6.6.
Match halves
Cumbayá: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.53. Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Cumbayá: 31-45+ (4 goals). Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Cumbayá averages 1.5 goals per home match and has an xG of 1.03, and at home they have never failed to score (0% of matches without a goal). Gualaceo away averages 0 goals per match and failed to score in 100% of their away games, concedes on average 2.0 goals away and has a higher xG of 1.47 and more shots (10 total and 6 on target), but their away conversion rate is 0%. Both teams have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks — Cumbayá conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches and Gualaceo conceded 11 — which suggests a higher probability of an open game despite the visitors’ lack of finishing on the road. Cumbayá has yet to win at home (0 wins), recording 2 draws and 1 loss, and over the last 5 matches overall they average 1.0 point per game (form 'wldld'), while Gualaceo averages 0.6 points per game in their last 5 (form 'llllw'), giving the hosts a slight points advantage. Therefore I estimate a 55% chance of Cumbayá victory, 30% for a draw and 15% for a Gualaceo win, because the home side’s effectiveness at home (1.5 goals and 18% shot conversion) and the visitors’ failure to score away support the '1' outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cumbayá | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cumbayá is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cumbayá · 1.4 pts / match - Gualaceo SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cumbayá is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Cumbayá · 0.76 goals / match - Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Cumbayá · 0.65 goals / match - Gualaceo SC
Cumbayá scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Gualaceo SC scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cumbayá
Over / Under — Gualaceo SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Cumbayá · 1.35 pts / match - Gualaceo SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cumbayá
Gualaceo SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cumbayá | Liga | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.06 | 1.94 | ▼ 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▼ 12% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cumbayá 0 - 0 - 3 Gualaceo SC. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cumbayá vs Gualaceo SC?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Cumbayá 1:1 Gualaceo SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cumbayá and Gualaceo SC?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0, Gualaceo SC won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cumbayá vs Gualaceo SC?
Cumbayá score 1.12 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 0.76. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cumbayá's matches and 29% of Gualaceo SC's.
What form are Cumbayá and Gualaceo SC in?
Over the last 5 games Cumbayá have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cumbayá vs Gualaceo SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.