Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of October 22, 2026

Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Czarni Połaniec plays Busko-Zdrój in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026.

Recent form

Czarni Połaniec has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Busko-Zdrój has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Czarni Połaniec scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.31. Busko-Zdrój scores 1.46 and allows 2.31. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of Czarni Połaniec's games and 85% of Busko-Zdrój's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 85%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Czarni Połaniec has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.40 per game. Czarni Połaniec takes 6.5 shots per game, while Busko-Zdrój takes 7.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Czarni Połaniec leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Busko-Zdrój leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Czarni Połaniec's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Busko-Zdrój, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 4 games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(4.00)
(4.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
1.38Goals scored / game1.46
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
1.31Goals allowed / game2.31
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
22%Average possession29%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
2Shots on target / game2.46
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.46Shots per game7.31
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
2Shots on target2.46
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
21.4%Shot conversion20%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
22%Possession29%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
1.68xG for1.4
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
1.3xG against1.87
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

Shooting quality

Czarni Połaniec: Counter-attackingBusko-Zdrój: Counter-attacking
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.260.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.690.59

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Busko-Zdrój is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Czarni Połaniec · 1.2 pts / game - Busko-Zdrój

Czarni Połaniec
LDDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W23% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-4
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Busko-Zdrój
WLWLL
Season result split
31% W15% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-7
1.08 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Busko-Zdrój is 6% better for: goals scored per game.

1.38 goals / game - Czarni Połaniec · 1.46 goals / game - Busko-Zdrój

Czarni Połaniec is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.31 goals / game - Czarni Połaniec · 2.31 goals / game - Busko-Zdrój

Czarni Połaniec scoring profile: very strong

Czarni Połaniec scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while Busko-Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 games).

Busko-Zdrój scoring profile: very strong

Busko-Zdrój scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 games), while Czarni Połaniec keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).

18Goals scored (season)19
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
17Goals conceded (season)30
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
2.69Average goals per game3.77
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8Goals conceded (last 5)14
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal92%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
38%2 goals38%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
23%3 goals15%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8%4 goals0%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal92%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
31%2 goals54%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
15%3 goals38%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8%4 goals38%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
23%Scored in both halves31%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS69%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
60%BTTS - last 560%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

31%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Busko-Zdrój is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / game - Czarni Połaniec · 1.54 pts / game - Busko-Zdrój

Czarni Połaniec - half-time state
23% leading69% draw8% trailing
Busko-Zdrój - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)1.54
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
0.69Average goals (1st half)1
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
92%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
69%No goal before half-time54%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per game (2nd half)1
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)1.23
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
1.54Average goals (2nd half)2
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
46%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój
46%No goal after half-time46%
Czarni PołaniecBusko-Zdrój

Czarni Połaniec - second-half results

23% W62% D15% L
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Busko-Zdrój - second-half results

23% W31% D46% L
20
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Czarni Połaniec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Busko-Zdrój - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.6
Average goals per game1.82.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Czarni Połaniec
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
0
0
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Busko-Zdrój
ScoredConceded
6
9
0-15
3
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Czarni Połaniec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Busko-Zdrój

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 32% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Czarni PołaniecLigaBusko-Zdrój
Average goals per game▼ 2.692.94▲ 3.77
Both teams scored▼ 46%57%▲ 85%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%56%▲ 85%
Clean sheets▲ 31%25%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▼ 31%61%▲ 69%
Goal after half-time• 69%68%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdrój play?

Czarni Połaniec face Busko-Zdrój on October 24, 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.38 goals per game on average and Busko-Zdrój 1.46. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Czarni Połaniec's matches and 85% of Busko-Zdrój's.

What form are Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdrój in?

Over the last 5 games Czarni Połaniec have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Busko-Zdrój 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.