Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Jardines del HipódromoData current as of 06 August 2026

Danubio vs Cerro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Danubio vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Danubio play Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo.

Current form

Danubio: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.64 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.39 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Danubio 55%, Cerro 41%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Cerro 36%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Cerro has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.21. Danubio: 9.1 shots per match, Cerro: 10.9.

Match halves

Danubio: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.45. Cerro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.27.

Goals by minute

Danubio: 0-15 (5 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.97)
(3.05)
(3.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.64
DanubioCerro
1.36Goals conceded / match1.55
DanubioCerro
51%Average possession42%
DanubioCerro
3.64Shots on target / match3.27
DanubioCerro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.05Shots per match10.91
DanubioCerro
3.64Shots on target3.27
DanubioCerro
11.1%Shot conversion5.8%
DanubioCerro
51%Possession42%
DanubioCerro
1.21xG for1.27
DanubioCerro
1.38xG against1.45
DanubioCerro

Shooting quality

Danubio: BalancedCerro: Balanced
DanubioCerro
Accuracy (shots on target)40%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cerro is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Danubio · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro

Danubio
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W45% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-10-8
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Cerro
LLWWL
Season result split
23% W18% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-13
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Danubio is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Danubio · 0.64 goals / match - Cerro

Danubio is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Danubio · 1.55 goals / match - Cerro

Danubio scoring profile: very strong

Danubio scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).

Cerro scoring profile: strong

Cerro scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

22Goals scored (season)14
DanubioCerro
30Goals conceded (season)34
DanubioCerro
2.36Average goals in match2.18
DanubioCerro
3Goals scored (last 5)4
DanubioCerro
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
DanubioCerro

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal59%
DanubioCerro
27%2 goals5%
DanubioCerro
5%3 goals0%
DanubioCerro
5%4 goals0%
DanubioCerro

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal82%
DanubioCerro
41%2 goals36%
DanubioCerro
14%3 goals27%
DanubioCerro
5%4 goals9%
DanubioCerro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time27%
DanubioCerro
5%BTTS in both halves0%
DanubioCerro
14%Scored in both halves5%
DanubioCerro

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
DanubioCerro
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
DanubioCerro
40%BTTS - last 540%
DanubioCerro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
DanubioCerro
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
DanubioCerro
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
DanubioCerro

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
DanubioCerro
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
DanubioCerro
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
DanubioCerro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Danubio is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Danubio · 0.86 pts / match - Cerro

Danubio - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing
Cerro - half-time state
9% leading59% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)0.86
DanubioCerro
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.36
DanubioCerro
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
DanubioCerro
0.91Average goals (1st half)1
DanubioCerro
68%Clean sheet before half-time55%
DanubioCerro
55%No goal before half-time64%
DanubioCerro

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)0.77
DanubioCerro
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.27
DanubioCerro
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
DanubioCerro
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.18
DanubioCerro
32%Clean sheet after half-time32%
DanubioCerro
68%No goal after half-time73%
DanubioCerro

Danubio - second-half results

18% W32% R50% P
32
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro - second-half results

18% W23% R59% P
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Danubio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cerro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Cerro
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
8
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
5
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Cerro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

DanubioLigaCerro
Average goals in match 2.362.39 2.18
Both teams scored 55%51% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 36%
Clean sheets 23%28% 18%
Goal before half-time 64%69% 55%
Goal after half-time 77%72% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Danubio 2 - 1 - 0 Cerro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Cerro
0 : 1
Danubio
Danubio Fútbol Club
5 : 1
Club Atlético Cerro
Club Atlético Cerro
1 : 1
Danubio Fútbol Club

FAQ

When do Danubio and Cerro play?

Danubio face Cerro on 9 August 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Cerro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2, Cerro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Cerro?

Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.64. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Danubio's matches and 41% of Cerro's.

What form are Danubio and Cerro in?

Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Cerro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Cerro?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Danubio vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.