Danubio vs Progreso: match statistics
Danubio presents significantly better form, winning 100% of home matches this season and keeping a clean sheet in all home fixtures. Progreso, on the other hand, has not earned a single point on the road, losing all three matches and failing to score any goals. The difference in offensive quality is distinct – the hosts average 2 goals per match at home, while the guests have 0% scoring efficiency on away grounds. Danubio also dominates in terms of possession (62% vs 42%) and xG (1.6 vs 0.78), confirming qualitative superiority. The form over the last five matches also argues for the hosts (2.4 points per match vs 0.2), making a Danubio victory the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Danubio vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Danubio played against Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Danubio has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Progreso has 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Danubio scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. Progreso scores 0.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Danubio's games and 0% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Danubio has the higher season xG average, 1.05 to 0.81 per game. Danubio takes 8.3 shots per game, while Progreso takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Danubio leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Danubio's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Danubio presents significantly better form, winning 100% of home matches this season and keeping a clean sheet in all home fixtures. Progreso, on the other hand, has not earned a single point on the road, losing all three matches and failing to score any goals. The difference in offensive quality is distinct – the hosts average 2 goals per match at home, while the guests have 0% scoring efficiency on away grounds. Danubio also dominates in terms of possession (62% vs 42%) and xG (1.6 vs 0.78), confirming qualitative superiority. The form over the last five matches also argues for the hosts (2.4 points per match vs 0.2), making a Danubio victory the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Danubio is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Danubio · 2 goals / game - Progreso
Danubio scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Progreso scores in 0% of games (0 of 3 meczów), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Progreso - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Danubio
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Danubio's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Progreso. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 2:2 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1, Progreso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.00. The Primera División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Danubio's matches and 0% of Progreso's.
What form are Danubio and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Progreso 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Progreso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.