Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of September 12, 2026

De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Utrecht II crest
Utrecht II
155%(1.65)
X28%(4.00)
217%(4.40)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.58.59
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.-9.25%

De Graafschap displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at their home ground and an impressive average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts hold a high 3rd position in the table and boast a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches. Utrecht II ranks only 13th with a mere 25% win rate away from home and a negative goal difference of -4. The last five matches of both teams show a slight advantage for the hosts in form (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and Utrecht II has a tendency for draws (4 out of their last 5 matches). Higher xG values for De Graafschap (2.31 vs 1.56) and better ball possession control (58% vs 48%) speak in favor of a home win, although the guests' solid defense could make it a closely contested match.

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De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

De Graafschap played against Utrecht II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

De Graafschap has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Utrecht II has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

De Graafschap scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 1.52. Utrecht II scores 1.73 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 3.27 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of De Graafschap's games and 73% of Utrecht II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 69%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

De Graafschap has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.68 per game. De Graafschap takes 18.0 shots per game, while Utrecht II takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

De Graafschap leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Utrecht II leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.12 after halftime.

When the teams score

De Graafschap's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Utrecht II, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.27 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

De Graafschap displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at their home ground and an impressive average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts hold a high 3rd position in the table and boast a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches. Utrecht II ranks only 13th with a mere 25% win rate away from home and a negative goal difference of -4. The last five matches of both teams show a slight advantage for the hosts in form (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and Utrecht II has a tendency for draws (4 out of their last 5 matches). Higher xG values for De Graafschap (2.31 vs 1.56) and better ball possession control (58% vs 48%) speak in favor of a home win, although the guests' solid defense could make it a closely contested match.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

61Possession (%)39
De GraafschapUtrecht II
18Shots11
De GraafschapUtrecht II
10Shots on target2
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.16xG1.11
De GraafschapUtrecht II
5Corners3
De GraafschapUtrecht II
46Dangerous attacks36
De GraafschapUtrecht II
12Fouls7
De GraafschapUtrecht II
3Cards1
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.27
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.89Goals scored / game1.73
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.52Goals allowed / game1.81
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.04xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.68
De GraafschapUtrecht II
56%Average possession47%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7.07Shots on target / game5.77
De GraafschapUtrecht II
11%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.15%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
74%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.73%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18Shots per game14.92
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7.07Shots on target5.77
De GraafschapUtrecht II
10.5%Shot conversion11.6%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
56%Possession47%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.04xG for1.68
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.84xG against1.52
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantUtrecht II: Attacking
De GraafschapUtrecht II
Accuracy (shots on target)39%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

De Graafschap is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1.4 pts / game - Utrecht II

De Graafschap
LDDWW
Season result split
48% W22% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-8
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Utrecht II
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
31% W35% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-9
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-5
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.89 goals / game - De Graafschap · 1.73 goals / game - Utrecht II

De Graafschap is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.52 goals / game - De Graafschap · 1.81 goals / game - Utrecht II

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Utrecht II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).

Utrecht II scoring profile: very strong

Utrecht II scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 meczów).

51Goals scored (season)45
De GraafschapUtrecht II
41Goals conceded (season)47
De GraafschapUtrecht II
3.41Average goals per game3.54
De GraafschapUtrecht II
9Goals scored (last 5)12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
De GraafschapUtrecht II
De Graafschap
11%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.3 of 27 meczów
19%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 27 meczów
Utrecht II
15%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 26 meczów
19%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 26 meczów

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal81%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
67%2 goals54%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
33%3 goals23%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7%4 goals12%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal85%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
44%2 goals62%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
15%3 goals27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
4%4 goals8%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

74%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 27 meczów
73%
Utrecht II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 26 meczów
63%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time23%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
11%BTTS in both halves12%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%Scored in both halves35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
60%BTTS - last 5100%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.92%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
89%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.85%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
63%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.69%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
52%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.54%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 89%Under 11%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 37%Under 63%

Over / Under - Utrecht II

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 92%Under 8%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 85%Under 15%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 54%Under 46%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1.19 pts / game - Utrecht II

De Graafschap - half-time state
44% leading37% draw19% trailing
Utrecht II - half-time state
31% leading27% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per game (1st half)1.19
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.96Goals scored (1st half)0.62
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.42
De GraafschapUtrecht II
48%Clean sheet before half-time50%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%No goal before half-time50%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.42
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)1
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.89Average goals (2nd half)2.12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
30%Clean sheet after half-time27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
44%No goal after half-time35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

De Graafschap - second-half results

37% W26% D37% L
46
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Utrecht II - second-half results

35% W38% D27% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

De Graafschap - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Utrecht II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game2.02.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
11
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
10
46-60
5
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Utrecht II
ScoredConceded
6
10
0-15
3
10
16-30
7
1
31-45
12
6
46-60
9
10
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.48
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Utrecht II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaUtrecht II
Average goals per game▲ 3.413.27▲ 3.54
Both teams scored▲ 74%63%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 63%66%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▼ 11%21%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%78%• 77%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%86%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.27
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.49
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. De GraafschapYellow cardTeun Gijselhart
  2. Utrecht IIYellow cardNoa Dundas
  3. Utrecht IISubstitutionOn: Shedrach EbiteOff: Rafik el Arguioui
  4. De GraafschapGoalFedde de Jong
  5. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Kaya SymonsOff: Levi Schoppema
  6. De GraafschapYellow cardJason Meerstadt
  7. De GraafschapYellow cardTies Wieggers

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeJoshua Kuipers

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joshua KuipersMatches officiated: 19
3.53Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins11%Draws37%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from De Graafschap's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Utrecht II. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FC Utrecht II
2 : 3
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:0 Utrecht II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

De Graafschap score 1.89 goals per game on average and Utrecht II 1.73. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of De Graafschap's matches and 73% of Utrecht II's.

What form are De Graafschap and Utrecht II in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Utrecht II 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.