Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 17 July 2026

De Graafschap vs Vitesse: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 4half-time 0:2
Vitesse crest
Vitesse
155%(1.82)
X27%(3.75)
218%(3.20)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.54.72
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.0.10%

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

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De Graafschap vs Vitesse: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap play Vitesse in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 12:15. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

De Graafschap: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vitesse: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.95 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Vitesse scores 1.68 and concedes 1.45. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 71%, Vitesse 63%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 66%, Vitesse 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.62. De Graafschap: 17.7 shots per match, Vitesse: 14.7.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. Vitesse: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 76-90+ (19 goals). Vitesse: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
De GraafschapVitesse
23Shots13
De GraafschapVitesse
11Shots on target4
De GraafschapVitesse
2.79xG1.39
De GraafschapVitesse
3Corners2
De GraafschapVitesse
78Dangerous attacks41
De GraafschapVitesse
11Fouls17
De GraafschapVitesse
1Cards2
De GraafschapVitesse

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.66Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.47
De GraafschapVitesse
1.95Goals scored / match1.68
De GraafschapVitesse
1.53Goals conceded / match1.45
De GraafschapVitesse
2.02xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.62
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Average possession46%
De GraafschapVitesse
7.16Shots on target / match5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
16%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.24%
De GraafschapVitesse
71%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.63%
De GraafschapVitesse

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.74Shots per match14.74
De GraafschapVitesse
7.16Shots on target5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
11%Shot conversion11.4%
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Possession46%
De GraafschapVitesse
2.02xG for1.62
De GraafschapVitesse
1.74xG against1.47
De GraafschapVitesse

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantVitesse: Attacking
De GraafschapVitesse
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

De Graafschap
DWDWL
Season result split
47% W24% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-9-11
1.66 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Vitesse
DWWDL
Season result split
39% W29% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-11-12
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-5-6
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.68 goals / match - Vitesse

Vitesse is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.45 goals / match - Vitesse

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Vitesse scoring profile: very strong

Vitesse scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

74Goals scored (season)64
De GraafschapVitesse
58Goals conceded (season)55
De GraafschapVitesse
3.47Average goals in match3.13
De GraafschapVitesse
13Goals scored (last 5)13
De GraafschapVitesse
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
De GraafschapVitesse
De Graafschap
16%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 38 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 38 matches
Vitesse
24%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.9 of 38 matches
21%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.8 of 38 matches

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal79%
De GraafschapVitesse
66%2 goals53%
De GraafschapVitesse
34%3 goals21%
De GraafschapVitesse
8%4 goals11%
De GraafschapVitesse

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal76%
De GraafschapVitesse
45%2 goals47%
De GraafschapVitesse
18%3 goals16%
De GraafschapVitesse
5%4 goals5%
De GraafschapVitesse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.27 of 38 matches
63%
Vitesse - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.24 of 38 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse
11%BTTS in both halves3%
De GraafschapVitesse
42%Scored in both halves34%
De GraafschapVitesse

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
De GraafschapVitesse
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
De GraafschapVitesse
60%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapVitesse

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.92%
De GraafschapVitesse
87%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.89%
De GraafschapVitesse
66%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.68%
De GraafschapVitesse
53%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.39%
De GraafschapVitesse
37%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.13%
De GraafschapVitesse

Over / Under — De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 66%Under 34%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 53%Under 47%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 37%Under 63%

Over / Under — Vitesse

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 92%Under 8%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 89%Under 11%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 68%Under 32%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 39%Under 61%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
De GraafschapVitesse
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
De GraafschapVitesse

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
De GraafschapVitesse
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
De GraafschapVitesse
34%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.66 pts / match - Vitesse

De Graafschap - half-time state
47% leading34% draw18% trailing
Vitesse - half-time state
47% leading24% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per match (1st half)1.66
De GraafschapVitesse
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.84
De GraafschapVitesse
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
De GraafschapVitesse
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.5
De GraafschapVitesse
53%Clean sheet before half-time47%
De GraafschapVitesse
39%No goal before half-time39%
De GraafschapVitesse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.42
De GraafschapVitesse
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
De GraafschapVitesse
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
De GraafschapVitesse
2.05Average goals (2nd half)1.63
De GraafschapVitesse
32%Clean sheet after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
34%No goal after half-time47%
De GraafschapVitesse

De Graafschap - second-half results

37% W26% R37% P
67
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitesse - second-half results

37% W32% R32% P
63
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.66
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 39%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vitesse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+70
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
12
10
0-15
10
5
16-30
12
5
31-45
12
12
46-60
9
10
61-75
19
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Vitesse
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
9
11
16-30
16
9
31-45
9
11
46-60
7
7
61-75
16
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Vitesse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaVitesse
Average goals in match▲ 3.473.19• 3.13
Both teams scored▲ 71%61%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 66%63%▲ 68%
Clean sheets▼ 16%21%▲ 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%86%▼ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 1 - 0 - 0 Vitesse. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

SBV Vitesse
1 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:4 Vitesse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

De Graafschap score 1.95 goals per game on average and Vitesse 1.68. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of De Graafschap's matches and 63% of Vitesse's.

What form are De Graafschap and Vitesse in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vitesse 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.