Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of September 12, 2026

De Graafschap vs Vitesse: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 4half-time 0:2
Vitesse crest
Vitesse
155%(1.82)
X27%(3.75)
218%(3.20)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.54.72
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.0.10%

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

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De Graafschap vs Vitesse: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

De Graafschap played against Vitesse in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:4.

Recent form

De Graafschap has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Vitesse has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

De Graafschap scores 1.90 goals per game and allows 1.52. Vitesse scores 1.48 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 72% of De Graafschap's games and 66% of Vitesse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 69%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

De Graafschap has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.64 per game. De Graafschap takes 18.2 shots per game, while Vitesse takes 15.1.

First-half and second-half trends

De Graafschap leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Vitesse leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

De Graafschap's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Vitesse, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eerste Divisie games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

70Possession (%)30
De GraafschapVitesse
23Shots13
De GraafschapVitesse
11Shots on target4
De GraafschapVitesse
2.79xG1.39
De GraafschapVitesse
3Corners2
De GraafschapVitesse
78Dangerous attacks41
De GraafschapVitesse
11Fouls17
De GraafschapVitesse
1Cards2
De GraafschapVitesse

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.69Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.34
De GraafschapVitesse
1.9Goals scored / game1.48
De GraafschapVitesse
1.52Goals allowed / game1.55
De GraafschapVitesse
2.06xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.64
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Average possession47%
De GraafschapVitesse
7.17Shots on target / game5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
14%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.17%
De GraafschapVitesse
72%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.66%
De GraafschapVitesse

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18.21Shots per game15.07
De GraafschapVitesse
7.17Shots on target5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
10.4%Shot conversion9.8%
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Possession47%
De GraafschapVitesse
2.06xG for1.64
De GraafschapVitesse
1.81xG against1.47
De GraafschapVitesse

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantVitesse: Attacking
De GraafschapVitesse
Accuracy (shots on target)39%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

De Graafschap is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1.6 pts / game - Vitesse

De Graafschap
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
48% W24% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-8
1.69 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Vitesse
DWDLW
Season result split
34% W31% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-10
1.34 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 28% better for: goals scored per game.

1.9 goals / game - De Graafschap · 1.48 goals / game - Vitesse

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).

Vitesse scoring profile: very strong

Vitesse scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 meczów).

55Goals scored (season)43
De GraafschapVitesse
44Goals conceded (season)45
De GraafschapVitesse
3.41Average goals per game3.03
De GraafschapVitesse
10Goals scored (last 5)7
De GraafschapVitesse
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
De GraafschapVitesse
De Graafschap
14%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 29 meczów
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 29 meczów
Vitesse
17%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 29 meczów
24%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 29 meczów

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal76%
De GraafschapVitesse
66%2 goals52%
De GraafschapVitesse
34%3 goals14%
De GraafschapVitesse
7%4 goals7%
De GraafschapVitesse

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal83%
De GraafschapVitesse
45%2 goals52%
De GraafschapVitesse
17%3 goals14%
De GraafschapVitesse
3%4 goals7%
De GraafschapVitesse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

72%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 29 meczów
66%
Vitesse - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 29 meczów
62%
League average

Goal patterns

34%BTTS at half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse
14%BTTS in both halves3%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%Scored in both halves31%
De GraafschapVitesse

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
De GraafschapVitesse
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
De GraafschapVitesse
40%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapVitesse

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.93%
De GraafschapVitesse
86%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.93%
De GraafschapVitesse
62%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.69%
De GraafschapVitesse
52%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.38%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.7%
De GraafschapVitesse

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 62%Under 38%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%

Over / Under - Vitesse

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 7%Under 93%

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
De GraafschapVitesse
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
De GraafschapVitesse
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
De GraafschapVitesse

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
De GraafschapVitesse
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.72 pts / game - De Graafschap · 1.38 pts / game - Vitesse

De Graafschap - half-time state
45% leading38% draw17% trailing
Vitesse - half-time state
38% leading24% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.72Points per game (1st half)1.38
De GraafschapVitesse
0.97Goals scored (1st half)0.66
De GraafschapVitesse
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
De GraafschapVitesse
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.45
De GraafschapVitesse
48%Clean sheet before half-time38%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%No goal before half-time48%
De GraafschapVitesse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.38
De GraafschapVitesse
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
De GraafschapVitesse
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
De GraafschapVitesse
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.59
De GraafschapVitesse
31%Clean sheet after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
41%No goal after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse

De Graafschap - second-half results

38% W24% D38% L
50
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vitesse - second-half results

34% W34% D31% L
40
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 34%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

De Graafschap - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vitesse - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
11
8
0-15
8
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
10
46-60
5
6
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Vitesse
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
6
10
16-30
10
9
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
4
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Vitesse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaVitesse
Average goals per game▲ 3.413.22▼ 3.03
Both teams scored▲ 72%62%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 62%64%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▼ 14%21%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%86%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / game
1.47
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VitesseGoalNaoufal BannisAssist: Joâo Arlete Pinto
  2. VitesseYellow cardNaoufal Bannis
  3. VitesseGoalValon ZumberiAssist: Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz
  4. De GraafschapYellow cardJason Meerstadt
  5. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Elias HuthOff: Naoufal Bannis
  6. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Chahid El AllachiOff: Nathan Charles Kaninda
  7. De GraafschapGoalNils EggensAssist: Levi Schoppema
  8. VitesseGoalMathijs MarschalkAssist: Elias Huth
  9. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Jevon SimonsOff: Ibrahim El Kadiri
  10. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Kyano KwintOff: Jason Meerstadt
  11. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Moustafa Ashraf MoustafaOff: Mathijs Marschalk
  12. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Nino ZonneveldOff: Joâo Arlete Pinto
  13. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Chiel Olde KeizerOff: Alexander Büttner
  14. VitesseYellow cardYuval Ranon
  15. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Milan SmitsOff: Nolan Martens
  16. VitesseGoalYuval RanonAssist: Adam Tahaui

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeRobin Hensgens

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robin HensgensMatches officiated: 11
3.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 245%Home wins18%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from De Graafschap's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Vitesse. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

SBV Vitesse
1 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:4 Vitesse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

De Graafschap score 1.90 goals per game on average and Vitesse 1.48. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 72% of De Graafschap's matches and 66% of Vitesse's.

What form are De Graafschap and Vitesse in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vitesse 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.