Debrecen vs MTK: match statistics
Debrecen clearly surpasses MTK in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place in the table with a 55% home win rate, while MTK ranks 10th with only 18% wins on the road and a goal difference of -15. The form over the last five matches decisively favors Debrecen (1.6 points per match) compared to the catastrophic disposition of the visitors (0.2 points per match, a streak of four losses). MTK has not kept a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away match, which, combined with Debrecen's solid efficiency (1.45 goals on average at home), indicates a clear advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also confirm this forecast – Debrecen has better indicators in both attack and defense at their own stadium.
Debrecen vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Debrecen played against MTK in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Debrecen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. MTK has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Debrecen scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.22. MTK scores 1.83 and allows 2.22. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Debrecen's games and 70% of MTK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 78%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.57 per game. Debrecen takes 13.1 shots per game, while MTK takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Debrecen leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. MTK leads at halftime in 26% and scores 1.09 after halftime.
When the teams score
Debrecen's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For MTK, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Debrecen clearly surpasses MTK in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place in the table with a 55% home win rate, while MTK ranks 10th with only 18% wins on the road and a goal difference of -15. The form over the last five matches decisively favors Debrecen (1.6 points per match) compared to the catastrophic disposition of the visitors (0.2 points per match, a streak of four losses). MTK has not kept a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away match, which, combined with Debrecen's solid efficiency (1.45 goals on average at home), indicates a clear advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also confirm this forecast – Debrecen has better indicators in both attack and defense at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Debrecen | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Debrecen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Debrecen · 0.8 pts / game - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Debrecen · 1.83 goals / game - MTK
Debrecen is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Debrecen · 2.22 goals / game - MTK
Debrecen scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
MTK scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Debrecen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Debrecen
Over / Under - MTK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Debrecen is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Debrecen · 0.96 pts / game - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Debrecen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Debrecen
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Debrecen | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.70 | 3.04 | ▲ 4.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Debrecen's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against MTK. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Debrecen vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Debrecen 2:2 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Debrecen and MTK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Debrecen won 1, MTK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Debrecen vs MTK?
Debrecen score 1.48 goals per game on average and MTK 1.83. The NB I average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Debrecen's matches and 70% of MTK's.
What form are Debrecen and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Debrecen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and MTK 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Debrecen vs MTK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Debrecen vs MTK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.