Dekani vs Tabor Sežana: match statistics

Tabor Sežana top the table and have won all 4 matches played so far, while Dekani have recorded just 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The visitors are on an outstanding run of 5 consecutive victories, scoring 20 goals and conceding none during this spell, whereas Dekani have scored 4 goals in their last five matches. Away from home, Tabor average 4.5 goals per match, attempt 19.5 shots and register as many as 10 shots on target, with an average xG of 2.35. Dekani create significantly less at home, averaging an xG of 1.44 and 3 shots on target, and have also failed to score in 50% of their home appearances. Although the hosts have a positive home goal difference and concede only 1 goal on average, Tabor’s 100% away win record and perfect clean-sheet record clearly favor the visitors.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as both teams have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far, while their BTTS rate stands at 0% each. Tabor Sežana are particularly reliable defensively: they have conceded no goals in their last five matches, alongside a run of 5 wins, while Dekani have scored only 0.8 goals per game during this period. The hosts have an xG of 1.26 in their last five appearances, but Tabor allow opponents just 1.51 xG, which, combined with their zero goals conceded, supports another match in which Dekani fail to score. The visitors are highly dangerous in attack, averaging 4.0 goals in their last five games, so a one-sided victory for them appears more likely than both teams finding the net. Additionally, 100% of Tabor’s matches featuring at least three goals ended without BTTS, supporting a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.

Tabor Sežana are in excellent form, having won their last five matches and scored 20 goals in the process, averaging 4.0 per game. At the same time, Dekani have conceded just 0.6 goals per match across their last five outings, while their average xG against stands at 1.04, limiting the visitors’ projection to around 1.65 goals. The hosts have recently averaged 0.8 goals scored, whereas Tabor have kept a clean sheet in their previous five matches, so I rate their attacking potential at just 0.75 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in only 20% of Dekani’s last five matches, and neither team recorded a game with goals scored by both sides during this period. Despite the visitors’ clear attacking advantage, the expected total of 2.40 goals provides the strongest signal for Under 3.5 goals.

Tabor Sežana have an exceptionally strong attacking profile: they average 4.5 goals per match compared with Dekani’s 1.0, while their xG stands at 2.35 versus the hosts’ 1.30. The visitors average 19.5 shots and 10 shots on target, compared with 10.5 and 2.5 respectively for Dekani, while their finishing efficiency is 23% versus 10%. Tabor led at the break in both of their matches so far this season, scoring an average of 3.5 goals before half-time, whereas Dekani have managed just 0.5 goals during this phase. This trend is reinforced by their recent run: the visitors have won 5 of 5 matches, led at half-time in 80% of them and scored an average of 2.8 goals before the interval, while the hosts have recorded such a lead in only 20% of their matches. The most likely outcome is therefore Tabor Sežana taking the lead by half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle.