Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Deportes Tolima demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 75% win rate and an impressive record of 3 wins in their last 4 games at home. The hosts stand out with a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with 50% clean sheets, which is in stark contrast to Fortaleza CEIF, who concede an average of 2 goals per game in away matches. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), and their goal difference of -6 along with a series of draws and losses in recent away fixtures confirm their problems on the road. Tolima also boasts an advantage in possession (62% vs 52%) and a higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.21), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the clear favorites, although both teams' form in the last 5 matches is identical (1.4 PPG), which leaves some room for an upset or a draw.
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportes Tolima played against Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 19, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Deportes Tolima has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Fortaleza CEIF has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportes Tolima scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.80. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.18 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Deportes Tolima's games and 82% of Fortaleza CEIF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 45%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fortaleza CEIF has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.30 per game. Deportes Tolima takes 12.0 shots per game, while Fortaleza CEIF takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportes Tolima leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza CEIF leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportes Tolima's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Fortaleza CEIF, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportes Tolima demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 75% win rate and an impressive record of 3 wins in their last 4 games at home. The hosts stand out with a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with 50% clean sheets, which is in stark contrast to Fortaleza CEIF, who concede an average of 2 goals per game in away matches. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), and their goal difference of -6 along with a series of draws and losses in recent away fixtures confirm their problems on the road. Tolima also boasts an advantage in possession (62% vs 52%) and a higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.21), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the clear favorites, although both teams' form in the last 5 matches is identical (1.4 PPG), which leaves some room for an upset or a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Deportes Tolima is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Deportes Tolima · 1.4 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Deportes Tolima · 1.45 goals / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Deportes Tolima scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 meczów), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 227% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Deportes Tolima · 0.55 pts / game - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.57 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportes Tolima's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Fortaleza CEIF. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 2:0 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 2, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima score 1.20 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.18. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 82% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.