Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Manuel Murillo ToroData current as of 23 July 2026

Deportes Tolima vs Junior: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Deportes Tolima vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Deportes Tolima play Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 03:15. Venue: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

Current form

Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Junior: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Junior scores 1.52 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportes Tolima 43%, Junior 48%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 30%, Junior 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. Deportes Tolima: 13.2 shots per match, Junior: 12.6.

Match halves

Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70. Junior: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). Junior: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

7 H2H matches: 3-2-2. Average goals 1.57, BTTS 14%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.08)
(2.95)
(3.93)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Deportes TolimaJunior
1.35Goals scored / match1.52
Deportes TolimaJunior
0.91Goals conceded / match1.12
Deportes TolimaJunior
56%Average possession53%
Deportes TolimaJunior
4.48Shots on target / match4.56
Deportes TolimaJunior

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.17Shots per match12.6
Deportes TolimaJunior
4.48Shots on target4.56
Deportes TolimaJunior
10.2%Shot conversion12.1%
Deportes TolimaJunior
56%Possession53%
Deportes TolimaJunior
1.39xG for1.37
Deportes TolimaJunior
1.21xG against1.44
Deportes TolimaJunior

Shooting quality

Deportes Tolima: BalancedJunior: Balanced
Deportes TolimaJunior
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportes Tolima is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.2 pts / match - Junior

Deportes Tolima
DWWLL
Season result split
43% W30% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-6
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Junior
DDDWL
Season result split
52% W20% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-7
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Junior is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.52 goals / match - Junior

Deportes Tolima is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.12 goals / match - Junior

Deportes Tolima scoring profile: strong

Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Junior scoring profile: strong

Junior scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).

31Goals scored (season)38
Deportes TolimaJunior
21Goals conceded (season)28
Deportes TolimaJunior
2.26Average goals in match2.64
Deportes TolimaJunior
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Deportes TolimaJunior
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Deportes TolimaJunior

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal80%
Deportes TolimaJunior
48%2 goals48%
Deportes TolimaJunior
9%3 goals20%
Deportes TolimaJunior
4%4 goals4%
Deportes TolimaJunior

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal64%
Deportes TolimaJunior
22%2 goals36%
Deportes TolimaJunior
9%3 goals8%
Deportes TolimaJunior
0%4 goals4%
Deportes TolimaJunior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time24%
Deportes TolimaJunior
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Deportes TolimaJunior
26%Scored in both halves36%
Deportes TolimaJunior

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Deportes TolimaJunior
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Deportes TolimaJunior
40%BTTS - last 540%
Deportes TolimaJunior

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Deportes TolimaJunior
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Deportes TolimaJunior
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Deportes TolimaJunior

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Deportes TolimaJunior
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
Deportes TolimaJunior
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Deportes TolimaJunior

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportes Tolima - half-time state
43% leading39% draw17% trailing
Junior - half-time state
48% leading28% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1.72
Deportes TolimaJunior
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.84
Deportes TolimaJunior
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Deportes TolimaJunior
1Average goals (1st half)1.4
Deportes TolimaJunior
70%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Deportes TolimaJunior
48%No goal before half-time32%
Deportes TolimaJunior

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Deportes TolimaJunior
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Deportes TolimaJunior
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Deportes TolimaJunior
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.24
Deportes TolimaJunior
57%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Deportes TolimaJunior
52%No goal after half-time52%
Deportes TolimaJunior

Deportes Tolima - second-half results

43% W22% R35% P
39
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Junior - second-half results

32% W48% R20% P
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Deportes Tolima - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Junior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Deportes Tolima
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
4
4
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
7
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Junior
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
13
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Deportes Tolima

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Junior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Deportes TolimaLigaJunior
Average goals in match 2.262.53 2.64
Both teams scored 43%53% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%48% 52%
Clean sheets 39%27% 36%
Goal before half-time 65%70% 88%
Goal after half-time 78%78% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+64%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Deportes Tolima 3 - 2 - 2 Junior. Average goals 1.57, both teams scored in 14% matches.

Junior
0 : 2
Deportes Tolima
Club Deportes Tolima SA
0 : 1
CD Popular Junior FC SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
3 : 0
Club Deportes Tolima SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
0 : 1
Club Deportes Tolima SA
Club Deportes Tolima SA
2 : 0
CD Popular Junior FC SA
CD Popular Junior FC SA
1 : 1
Club Deportes Tolima SA
Club Deportes Tolima SA
0 : 0
CD Popular Junior FC SA

FAQ

When do Deportes Tolima and Junior play?

Deportes Tolima face Junior on 26 July 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Junior?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 3, Junior won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

Deportes Tolima score 1.35 goals per game on average and Junior 1.52. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 48% of Junior's.

What form are Deportes Tolima and Junior in?

Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Junior 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

The statistical background for Deportes Tolima vs Junior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.