Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely matched contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario. Deportes Tolima exhibits solid home form with a 50% win rate at their ground, yet their poor recent form (only 1 win in their last 5 matches) raises concerns. Once Caldas remains undefeated this season, boasting an impressive unbeaten run, and their 67% draw rate on the road confirms defensive stability. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 49%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.56 vs 1.21 for the visitors away). However, Once Caldas has not lost a single away match yet and always scores (0% FTS%). Considering the visitors' consistent draw-based form and the hosts' recent struggles to secure wins, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportes Tolima played against Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Deportes Tolima has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Once Caldas has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportes Tolima scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Once Caldas scores 1.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 17% of Deportes Tolima's games and 100% of Once Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 17% and 33%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.03 per game. Deportes Tolima takes 9.0 shots per game, while Once Caldas takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportes Tolima leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Once Caldas leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportes Tolima's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Once Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely matched contest with a slight edge towards a draw scenario. Deportes Tolima exhibits solid home form with a 50% win rate at their ground, yet their poor recent form (only 1 win in their last 5 matches) raises concerns. Once Caldas remains undefeated this season, boasting an impressive unbeaten run, and their 67% draw rate on the road confirms defensive stability. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (63% vs 49%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.56 vs 1.21 for the visitors away). However, Once Caldas has not lost a single away match yet and always scores (0% FTS%). Considering the visitors' consistent draw-based form and the hosts' recent struggles to secure wins, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Once Caldas is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Deportes Tolima · 1.4 pts / game - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Deportes Tolima · 1.33 goals / game - Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Deportes Tolima · 1 goals / game - Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Once Caldas scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Deportes Tolima · 1.17 pts / game - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.42 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportes Tolima's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Once Caldas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 2:1 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 2, Once Caldas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima score 1.00 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.33. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 100% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Once Caldas 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
The statistical background for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.