Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs San Antonio: match statistics

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have a moderate home advantage: they win 38% of their matches at home, while San Antonio win just 25% of their away games and lose as many as 50%. The hosts concede an average of 1.00 goals at their own stadium, with an xGA of 1.06, while the visitors allow opponents 1.33 goals and 1.51 xG away from home. However, both teams have been inefficient in their last five league matches, scoring 2 and 3 goals respectively, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring game and a draw. Cuenca create slightly better chances at home, with an average xG of 1.33 compared with San Antonio’s 1.21, and also register 3.92 shots on target per match versus their opponents’ 3.75. The hosts’ poor run, with just 1 win in their last five matches, means their advantage cannot be considered decisive, but the home-and-away statistics point to a home win (1).

The BTTS - No pick is supported by the league’s low-scoring profile, with an average of just 1.89 goals per match, while both teams have recorded BTTS in 57% and only 33% of their matches, respectively. The strongest signal comes from their current form: in their last 5 matches, both Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and San Antonio had BTTS in only 20% of cases. The hosts scored 2 goals during this period, averaging 0.4 per match, while the visitors scored 3, averaging 0.6, which significantly lowers the likelihood of both sides finding the net. San Antonio kept a clean sheet in 42% of their matches this season and also failed to score in 42%, while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors failed to score in 36% of their matches. Although their average xG over the last five appearances stands at 1.02 for the hosts and 1.47 for the visitors, both teams’ actual finishing records point more often to a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.

The profile of both teams clearly points to a low-scoring game: 86% of the home side’s matches and 83% of San Antonio’s games finished with under 3.5 goals. In their last five appearances, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scored just 2 goals, while San Antonio scored 3, with both teams conceding 7 goals. The 2.5 line has also historically produced low totals, as only 29% of the home side’s matches and 33% of the visitors’ games exceeded three goals. Although the teams’ recent average xG figures stand at 1.02 and 1.47 respectively, poor finishing and just 20% of matches with both teams scoring in the last five rounds further strengthen the case for Under 3.5 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as Deportivo Cuenca Juniors drew 57% of their first halves, compared with 50% for San Antonio; in their last five matches, the visitors were level at the break in 60% of games. The opening stages are expected to be highly cautious: both teams have recently averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time, while San Antonio failed to score in the first half in 80% of those matches. The hosts have a clear tendency to draw across the competition, recording stalemates in 64% of their matches, while after the break both teams most frequently share the points in this period, in 64% and 67% of cases respectively. The difference in attacking potential is marginal, as reflected by the hosts’ xG of 1.30 compared with 1.21 for the visitors, while their current scoring form remains poor: Deportivo have averaged 0.4 goals and San Antonio 0.6 goals per match across their last five outings. This points towards a cautious encounter with a high probability of a draw both at half-time and at the final whistle.