Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: match statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Garcilaso played against Alianza Atlético in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Deportivo Garcilaso has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Alianza Atlético has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.23. Alianza Atlético scores 1.15 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Deportivo Garcilaso's games and 46% of Alianza Atlético's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 38%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alianza Atlético has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.31 per game. Deportivo Garcilaso takes 12.2 shots per game, while Alianza Atlético takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Garcilaso leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Alianza Atlético leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Garcilaso's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Alianza Atlético, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win — Deportivo Garcilaso averages 1.5 goals per home match, while Alianza Atlético scores only 0.83 goals away. Defensively the hosts are superior: they concede 1.17 goals per home match and have a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas the visitors concede 1.33 goals on the road and have recorded no clean sheets (0%). Chance quality is similar by xG (hosts xG 1.32 vs visitors xG 1.37), but Deportivo is significantly more efficient in finishing — conversion 12% versus 6% for Alianza — and the hosts have no goalless home games (0% FTS) compared to 33% away FTS for the visitors. Form supports the edge: in the last 5 matches the hosts have 3 wins and 2 losses averaging 1.8 points per game, while the visitors have 2 wins and 3 losses averaging 1.2 points per game; additionally the hosts win 50% of home matches versus 17% away wins for Alianza. Considering the advantage in finishing efficiency, better defensive metrics and form, I estimate a 65% probability of a home win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The home team has kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches this season and only 29% BTTS, while Alianza Atlético has 0% clean sheets and 67% BTTS, giving opposing signals. Average goals: home 1.43 scored and 0.57 conceded vs away 0.83 scored and 1.33 conceded, meaning Garcilaso defends much better than the visitors can score. Additionally, the home side has higher shot conversion (11% vs 6%) and similar xG (1.41 vs 1.37), suggesting more efficient chance conversion. The last 5 matches show some deviation (BTTS 60% for home vs 40% for away), but a 5-match sample is smaller than the seasonal signals. Considering the homes keep a clean sheet in 57% of games and the visitors average only 0.83 goals, a No Goal scenario (no BTTS) appears more likely (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total xG is 2.78 (1.41 xG for Deportivo Garcilaso vs 1.37 xG for Alianza Atlético), which nominally suggests a threshold near 2.7–2.8 goals, but the visitors’ poor finishing lowers the expectation to around 2.25 (1.40 for the home side and 0.85 for the away side). Deportivo has a seasonal goals average of 1.43 and 57% clean sheets, while Alianza averages 0.83 goals per game and a shot conversion rate of ~6% (vs 11% for the hosts), indicating the visitors often fail to convert created chances into goals. In the last 5 matches there were 13 goals total (7 Deportivo, 6 Alianza), i.e. 2.6 goals per game on average, and the hosts’ last 5 xG is 1.24 versus 1.54 for the visitors, which increases the chances of at least 2 goals in the match. Based on these numbers I assign a strong probability to Over 1.5 (80%), a moderate edge for Over 2.5 (55%) and a low probability for Over 3.5 (20%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics indicate a draw: the home side were level at the break in 57% of matches, the away side in 67%, and the average goals by half-time are only 0.86 for the hosts and 0.83 for the visitors (AVGHT_home 0.86, AVGHT_away 0.83). After the break the home advantage increases — Deportivo scores on average 0.86 goals in the second half versus 0.67 for Alianza and collects 2.0 points after the interval versus 1.33 for the visitors (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.86, scored_2hg_avg_away 0.67; ppg_2hg_home 2.0, ppg_2hg_away 1.33), with the home win rate in second halves at 56% compared to 33% for the away team. Additionally, the hosts have a better shot conversion rate of 11% versus 6% for the visitors and similar xG of 1.41 vs 1.37, while the away side concedes on average 1.33 goals per match (shot_conversion_rate_home 11.0; shot_conversion_rate_away 6.0; xg_for_avg_home 1.41; xg_for_avg_away 1.37; seasonConcededAVG_away 1.33). As a result the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home victory Full-Time, hence my HT/FT pick X/1 (estimated 34%), with 1/1 assessed at 25% and X/X at 20%. Low chances for the visitors are supported by their overall win effectiveness of 17% and the fact that the away side led at the break in only about 14% of matches, which limits the probability of HT/FT combinations starting with an Alianza lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.4 pts / game - Alianza Atlético
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alianza Atlético is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.15 goals / game - Alianza Atlético
Alianza Atlético is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 0.92 goals / game - Alianza Atlético
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Alianza Atlético keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
Alianza Atlético scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 meczów), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Garcilaso
Over / Under - Alianza Atlético
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.08 pts / game - Alianza Atlético
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Alianza Atlético - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atlético
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Liga | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.23 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 65% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Alianza AtléticoSubstitutionOn: Erick Anthony Perleche CruzadoOff: Anthony Manuel Alberto Gordillo Vásquez
- Alianza AtléticoSubstitutionOn: Jorge Andreé Del Castillo DíazOff: Cristian Anderson Penilla Caicedo
- Deportivo GarcilasoSubstitutionOn: Francisco Andrés Arancibia SilvaOff: Kevin Armando Sandoval Laynes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Alianza Atlético. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1 Alianza Atlético. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0, Alianza Atlético won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.00 goals per game on average and Alianza Atlético 1.15. The Primera División average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Deportivo Garcilaso's matches and 46% of Alianza Atlético's.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Garcilaso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Alianza Atlético 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.