Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: match statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Garcilaso play Alianza Atlético in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Alianza Atlético: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.17 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Alianza Atlético scores 1.17 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Garcilaso 50%, Alianza Atlético 56%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Garcilaso 33%, Alianza Atlético 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Atlético has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.25. Deportivo Garcilaso: 11.6 shots per match, Alianza Atlético: 13.8.
Match halves
Deportivo Garcilaso: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83. Alianza Atlético: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Garcilaso: 46-60 (6 goals). Alianza Atlético: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win — Deportivo Garcilaso averages 1.5 goals per home match, while Alianza Atlético scores only 0.83 goals away. Defensively the hosts are superior: they concede 1.17 goals per home match and have a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas the visitors concede 1.33 goals on the road and have recorded no clean sheets (0%). Chance quality is similar by xG (hosts xG 1.32 vs visitors xG 1.37), but Deportivo is significantly more efficient in finishing — conversion 12% versus 6% for Alianza — and the hosts have no goalless home games (0% FTS) compared to 33% away FTS for the visitors. Form supports the edge: in the last 5 matches the hosts have 3 wins and 2 losses averaging 1.8 points per game, while the visitors have 2 wins and 3 losses averaging 1.2 points per game; additionally the hosts win 50% of home matches versus 17% away wins for Alianza. Considering the advantage in finishing efficiency, better defensive metrics and form, I estimate a 65% probability of a home win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 0.8 pts / match - Alianza Atlético
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.22 goals / match - Alianza Atlético
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Alianza Atlético keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Alianza Atlético scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Garcilaso
Over / Under — Alianza Atlético
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.17 pts / match - Alianza Atlético
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alianza Atlético - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atlético
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Liga | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Garcilaso 0 - 0 - 2 Alianza Atlético. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1 Alianza Atlético. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0, Alianza Atlético won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.17 goals per game on average and Alianza Atlético 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Garcilaso's matches and 56% of Alianza Atlético's.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atlético in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Garcilaso have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Alianza Atlético 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atlético: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.