Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche CF: match statistics

Both teams are very close in the standings: Deportivo La Coruña sit 6th, while Elche CF occupy 7th place. Elche have not lost any of their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, whereas Deportivo have posted 2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat during the same period. The visitors have been more prolific, scoring 9 goals in five matches compared with the hosts’ 5, but they have also conceded 5 goals versus Deportivo’s 4. The home side have averaged 1.6 points per game over their last five league fixtures, while Elche have averaged 1.8, confirming the visitors’ slight edge in current form. However, Elche’s high number of draws, combined with the narrow differences in both teams’ results and defensive records, points primarily towards a share of the points.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Deportivo had both teams scoring in only 40% of their last 5 matches and conceded just 0.8 goals per game on average. Elche did score 1.8 goals per match during this period, but its average xG was only 0.69, suggesting that such a high scoring rate may be difficult to sustain. Elche’s defense looks even more solid in terms of quality data: opponents created just 0.27 xG against them on average, while Deportivo generated an average of 1.08 xG. The visitors have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five outings, but the combination of Elche’s low number of chances conceded and the hosts’ moderate attacking output increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score.

In their last five matches, Deportivo scored 5 goals, averaging 1.0 per game, while Elche also conceded just 5 goals during this period. The visitors’ defensive profile is confirmed by the very low average xG allowed to opponents, at 0.27, whereas Deportivo created chances worth an average of 1.08 xG. Elche has been more clinical, averaging 1.8 goals scored across its last five appearances, but its own xG of 0.69 suggests that this attacking output may be difficult to fully sustain. Although 80% of Elche’s recent matches went Over 2.5 goals, Deportivo recorded Over 2.5 in only 20% of its games, and the combination of these trends points more towards a total of 1-3 goals. A projected total of 2.10 goals gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals bet.

Elche have shown clearly stronger first-half form: in their last five matches, they have averaged 0.8 goals before the break, compared with just 0.2 for Deportivo. The hosts were trailing at half-time in 60% of those games, while Elche were leading after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches and recorded a positive first-half goal difference of +1, compared with Deportivo’s -2. The visitors remain unbeaten in their last five outings, recording 40% wins and 60% draws, whereas Deportivo won 40% but also suffered defeats in 20% of their matches. After the break, Deportivo defend solidly, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals, but Elche still score 1.0 goal on average. Therefore, the strongest HT/FT scenario is for the visitors to maintain their lead through to full-time: 2/2.