Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro: match statistics
Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Maipú played against Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Deportivo Maipú has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Almagro has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Maipú scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.44. Almagro scores 0.56 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Deportivo Maipú's games and 22% of Almagro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 11%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportivo Maipú has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.02 per game. Deportivo Maipú takes 12.2 shots per game, while Almagro takes 7.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Maipú leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Almagro leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Maipú's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Almagro, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maipú holds a clear edge in chance creation — at home they average 14.75 shots per game, including 3.5 on target, with xG 1.65, while Almagro away averages just 6.4 shots and 2.8 on target with xG 1.00. Consequently the hosts score 1.25 goals per home match and concede 1.00, whereas the visitors score only 0.4 goals away and concede 2.00 on average — this indicates superiority for Maipú both offensively and defensively. In the last 5 matches Maipú has scored 4 goals and averages 0.8 points per game (record 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), while Almagro has also scored 4 but conceded 8 and averages 1.2 points per game (record 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses); additionally the visitors fail to score in 60% of their away matches. Higher possession (54% vs 44%), greater shot volume (14.75 vs 6.4) and superior xG (1.65 vs 1.00) lead me to back the home win (1), although Maipú have 0% clean sheets at home, so I expect goals at both ends.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportivo Maipú has a seasonal BTTS 0% at home and 50% clean sheets in home matches, while Almagro has a seasonal BTTS 40% and only 20% clean sheets as an away team; in the league the overall BTTS rate is 37% and clean sheets 81%. The home side score on average 0.75 goals per game and concede 0.5 at home, whereas Almagro score only 0.4 and concede 2.0 per game — meaning Almagro concedes more but rarely scores. xG and shot metrics show similar creative potential (home xG 1.06 vs away xG 1.00), but Almagro allows 2.07 xG against compared to 1.46 for Maipú and has a lower shot conversion (6% vs 9%), suggesting the visitors create chances but convert poorly. In the last 5 matches BTTS for the home team is 40% and for the away team 20%; hosts have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, while Almagro averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, indicating both sides have not been consistent in scoring recently. Considering the seasonal 0% BTTS for the hosts, 50% home clean sheets and the league’s low BTTS share of 37%, I project a 'No' (No Goal) scenario as stronger — 75% vs 25% for BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates total expected goals around 2.80: home average xG is 1.06, and xG against Almagro is 2.07, yielding ≈1.57 expected goals for Deportivo; Almagro’s xG is 1.00 and xG against Deportivo 1.46, i.e. ≈1.23 for the away side. Seasonal actual goals are low (Deportivo 0.75, Almagro 0.40), highlighting finishing issues — gaps between xG and actual goals are about 0.31 and 0.60. Defensively Almagro is weakest: concedes 2.00 goals per match on average with xG against 2.07 and only 20% clean sheets, while Deportivo has 50% clean sheets; this increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. Considering total xG ≈2.80 and recent form over the last 5 matches (Deportivo recent xG_for 1.57, Almagro recent xG_against 1.42), the distribution model gives roughly 77% for Over 1.5, ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5. Based on this I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while approaching Over 2.5/3.5 cautiously due to the low seasonal goal averages.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a Half-Time draw and a Home win (X/1). Home teams led at the break in 25% of their home matches, while away teams never led on the road (0%). Halftime draws occurred in 50% for home matches and 40% for away matches (approximately 45% on average). After the break the hosts have the advantage: they score on average 0.75 goals in second halves and average 1.75 points in second halves versus 0.8 for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts scored 2 goals in minutes 46–60, while the visitors conceded 3 goals in the 31–45 and 76–90 intervals. This is supported by xG and finishing efficiency — home xG is 1.06 versus 1.00 for the away side; xG conceded by the visitors is 2.07 compared to 1.46 against the hosts; and the hosts’ shot conversion is 9% versus 6% for the visitors. Moreover, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games and have 75% clean first halves, whereas the visitors have only 20% clean sheets on the road and concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of a home win. Accordingly, I assigned the highest probability to the X/1 scenario (28%), leaving 1/1 (18%) and X/X (12%) as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maipú | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Almagro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Deportivo Maipú · 1.2 pts / game - Almagro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maipú is 98% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Deportivo Maipú · 0.56 goals / game - Almagro
Almagro is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Deportivo Maipú · 1.33 goals / game - Almagro
Deportivo Maipú scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
Almagro scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 meczów), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Maipú
Over / Under - Almagro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maipú is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Deportivo Maipú · 0.78 pts / game - Almagro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maipú - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Maipú
Almagro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maipú | Liga | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.56 | 1.80 | • 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 36% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 29% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 57% | • 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Maipú's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Almagro. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Maipú 1:0 Almagro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maipú and Almagro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 2, Almagro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
Deportivo Maipú score 1.11 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.56. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Deportivo Maipú's matches and 22% of Almagro's.
What form are Deportivo Maipú and Almagro in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maipú have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Almagro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.