Deportivo Maipú vs Temperley: match statistics

Deportivo Maipú have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 53% of their home matches, score an average of 1.20 goals and concede just 0.67 per game. Temperley are in excellent current form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches and a 9:3 goal difference; however, they score only 0.53 goals per away game. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 14.27 shots and an xG of 1.68, while the visitors record 8.47 shots and an xG of 1.14 away from home. Home advantage and Maipú’s superior attacking quality point towards a narrow victory, although Temperley’s 53% away draw rate significantly increases the likelihood of a share of the points. The visitors’ solid defense, which keeps a clean sheet in 53% of away matches, suggests a tight and relatively low-scoring encounter.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Temperley’s away scoring record: the team averages just 0.53 goals per match and fails to score in 53% of games. Deportivo Maipú concedes 1.13 goals per home match, but its 33% clean-sheet rate further increases the likelihood that the visitors will finish the game without scoring. Temperley does have a solid away defense, conceding an average of 0.47 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 53% of matches, while Maipú has scored just 0.8 goals per game across its last five fixtures. Temperley’s seasonal BTTS rate is only 27%, well below Maipú’s 60% and the league-wide figure of 39%. The visitors’ stronger recent scoring form—1.8 goals per match over their last five appearances—reduces confidence in the pick, but the defensive profile and low away scoring efficiency still point more strongly toward at least one team failing to score.

The competition profile clearly favors low-scoring outcomes: the average is only 1.93 goals per match, while the 2.5-goal line is exceeded in 32% of games. Temperley concede an average of just 0.47 goals away from home, keep a clean sheet in 53% of matches, and have not played a single game with at least 4 goals. Deportivo Maipú do average 1.87 goals scored at home, but they have netted only 4 goals in their last five appearances, or 0.8 per match. Total expected goals of 2.15, combined with the visitors’ highly reliable defense, indicate that 4 or more goals are unlikely, making Under 3.5 goals the best option.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Temperley win in the match, as Deportivo Maipú drew the first half in 100% of their last five matches, while Temperley did so in 80% of them. During this period, the hosts scored only 0.4 goals before the break and 0.4 after half-time, whereas the visitors averaged 1.4 goals after the break without conceding any. Temperley are also in clearly better full-match form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game and conceding just 0.6, compared with only 1 win for Maipú and an average of 0.8 goals scored by the hosts. Seasonal home data still partially favor Maipú, who win 67% of their home matches, but Temperley’s current unbeaten run and their advantage in second halves increase the likelihood of a result after the break. The low-scoring profile of first halves, with an average of 0.47 goals in Temperley’s away matches before half-time, further supports the draw-after-45-minutes scenario.