Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado presents impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 matches), scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. The hosts dominate in ball possession (61%) and demonstrate high offensive efficiency with a 13% shot conversion rate. Defensor Sporting has only a 33% win rate in away matches, scoring an average of just 1 goal per game and is yet to keep a clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.66 vs 1.26 for the visitors offensively. Deportivo's recent home form (WW) and Defensor's weaker away disposition (DWL) suggest an advantage for the home side. Taking all stats into consideration, the most probable outcome is a victory for Deportivo Maldonado, although the visitors' solid defense might lead to a draw.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maldonado play Defensor Sporting in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Defensor Sporting: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.80 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Defensor Sporting scores 0.80 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 65%, Defensor Sporting 50%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 55%, Defensor Sporting 20%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Defensor Sporting has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.43. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.6 shots per match, Defensor Sporting: 12.2.
Match halves
Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80. Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). Defensor Sporting: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Deportivo Maldonado presents impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 matches), scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. The hosts dominate in ball possession (61%) and demonstrate high offensive efficiency with a 13% shot conversion rate. Defensor Sporting has only a 33% win rate in away matches, scoring an average of just 1 goal per game and is yet to keep a clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.66 vs 1.26 for the visitors offensively. Deportivo's recent home form (WW) and Defensor's weaker away disposition (DWL) suggest an advantage for the home side. Taking all stats into consideration, the most probable outcome is a victory for Deportivo Maldonado, although the visitors' solid defense might lead to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maldonado | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.6 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.8 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.85 goals / match - Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Defensor Sporting scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
Over / Under — Defensor Sporting
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.9 pts / match - Defensor Sporting
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maldonado | Liga | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.42 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Maldonado 1:0 Defensor Sporting. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?
Deportivo Maldonado score 1.80 goals per game on average and Defensor Sporting 0.80. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 50% of Defensor Sporting's.
What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Defensor Sporting in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Defensor Sporting 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?
The statistical background for Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


