Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maldonado play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.80 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 65%, Nacional 55%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 55%, Nacional 65%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.43. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.6 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80. Nacional: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win. Deportivo Maldonado has a perfect home record (100%), keeps clean sheets in 75% of home matches and concedes just 0.25 goals per home game on average, giving them a clear defensive edge. Nacional averages 1.6 goals scored away but also concedes 1.6 per away match and records only 20% clean sheets on the road, indicating defensive instability away from home. Deportivo generates more high-quality chances: home xG 1.56 with 13.75 shots and 5.0 on target per game, while Nacional posts xG 1.34 with 11.0 shots and 4.4 on target, although the visitors’ shot conversion is 15% versus the hosts’ 11%. In the last 5 matches Deportivo scored 6 goals and averages 1.8 points per game (3 wins, 2 losses), whereas Nacional has 8 goals in their last 5 and averages 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), so overall form and stability favor Deportivo.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maldonado | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 2 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.55 goals / match - Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.3 goals / match - Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Nacional scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.3 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maldonado | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 0 - 0 Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Maldonado 4:2 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional?
Deportivo Maldonado score 1.80 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.55. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 55% of Nacional's.
What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Nacional 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.