Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Morón play Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Deportivo Morón: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Morón scores 1.45 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.90 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Morón 50%, Estudiantes Caseros 30%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Morón 45%, Estudiantes Caseros 25%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Morón has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.12. Deportivo Morón: 11.1 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 9.1.
Match halves
Deportivo Morón: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.90. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Morón: 46-60 (9 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Deportivo Morón averages 1.57 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded at home, has a +7 goal differential and a 71% home win rate with 0% defeats. Morón generates more high-quality chances: home xG is 1.60 versus Estudiantes’ away xG of 1.16, and home averages of 11.71 shots and 3.86 on target exceed the visitors’ 8.57 shots and 3.43 on target. Estudiantes Caseros score only 0.86 goals per away match, have 43% of away games without scoring and a lower shot conversion rate (10% vs 13% for Morón), which significantly limits their ability to break down the opponent’s defense. Although the visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws) with 1.4 pts per game in that period, Morón’s superiority in chance quality and home defensive stability gives them a clear edge in this fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Morón | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Morón · 2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Morón is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Deportivo Morón · 0.9 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Estudiantes Caseros is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Deportivo Morón · 0.8 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Deportivo Morón scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Morón keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Morón
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Morón is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Deportivo Morón · 1.25 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Morón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Morón
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Morón | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.40 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Morón 1 - 1 - 0 Estudiantes Caseros. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Morón 2:0 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Morón and Estudiantes Caseros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 1, Estudiantes Caseros won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Deportivo Morón score 1.45 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.90. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Morón's matches and 30% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Deportivo Morón and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Morón have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Morón vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.