Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Pasto played against Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Deportivo Pasto has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Deportes Tolima has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Pasto scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.13. Deportes Tolima scores 1.60 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Deportivo Pasto's games and 53% of Deportes Tolima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 40%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Deportes Tolima has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.39 per game. Deportivo Pasto takes 13.2 shots per game, while Deportes Tolima takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Pasto leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Deportes Tolima leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Pasto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Deportes Tolima, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Pasto holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match, with a 63% home win rate and a +6 goal differential, while Deportes Tolima on the road score 1.14 and concede 1.0, recording only a 14% away win rate. Pasto generates more high-quality chances — home xG 1.43 vs away xG 1.09 for Tolima and 13.38 shots per game vs Tolima’s 10.14, translating into more opportunities. Tolima, however, shows strong short-term form: 10 goals in the last 5 matches and 1.8 points per game (2W,3D,0L), whereas Pasto have 7 goals and 1.4 points over their last five (2W,1D,2L). Tolima’s high share of away draws (71%) and a higher proportion of away matches without scoring (29% vs 13% for the home side) increase the likelihood of a split result, but Pasto’s better defense and greater efficiency at home (50% clean sheets) tip the balance in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a moderately high BTTS rate this season: Deportivo Pasto 50% and Deportes Tolima 57%, but in the last 5 matches the rates rose to 60% (Pasto) and 80% (Tolima), strongly indicating a propensity for goal exchange. Deportivo Pasto averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 0.75 goals per game this season, however over the last 5 matches its average is 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, while Tolima in the last 5 matches averages 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, so the visitors have been more productive recently. In xG terms Pasto has 1.73 xG per game and Tolima concedes 1.43 xG on average, giving Pasto a realistic chance to score; conversely Tolima has 1.09 xG per game against Pasto xG against 1.04, which also indicates scoring opportunities for the visitors. Additionally Pasto averages 5.63 shots on target versus Tolima's 3.71, and the league-wide BTTS rate is 56%; clean sheets stand at 38% for Pasto (meaning they concede in 62% of matches) and 43% for Tolima (57% of matches they concede), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Given the 60–80% BTTS in the last 5 matches for both sides, supporting xG and Tolima's current form, I tip BTTS - Yes as the more probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are approximately 1.58 for Deportivo Pasto (attack xG 1.73 and xG against Tolima 1.43 → ~1.58) and 1.07 for Deportes Tolima (xG_for 1.09 and home xG_against 1.04 → ~1.07), total ~2.65. Deportivo at home averages 2.0 goals and 5.63 shots on target, Tolima away averages 1.14 goals and 3.71 shots on target; BTTS is 50% (Pasto) and 57% (Tolima), which supports goal occurrence. Season-long Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Pasto and 29% for Tolima, but in the last 5 matches both teams have 60% Over 2.5, giving a slight edge to Over 2.5 (I estimate ~58%). The strongest signal is Over 1.5: season Over1.5 are 75% and 71%, and the expected 2.65 goals plus the disparity in shots on target (5.63 vs 3.71) indicate a very high probability of exceeding 1.5 goals, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportivo Pasto has a clear home advantage in underlying metrics: xG 1.73 versus Tolima’s 1.09, on average 16.5 shots versus 10.14 and 5.63 shots on target versus 3.71, which aligns with a 75% home win rate compared to 14% away wins. At Half-Time Pasto most often records a draw — 63% of matches are level at the break — whereas Tolima scored 10 goals before the break and led at Half-Time in 57% of their games, indicating potential for an even first half. The decisive period is the second half: Pasto averages 1.5 goals after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.5) and has 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals in the second half, while Tolima averages only 0.14 goals after the break, favoring the hosts late on. Based on this, the most likely HT/FT outcome is draw at Half-Time and home win at Full-Time (X/1) at 38%, with maintaining a home lead from Half-Time to Full-Time (1/1) assessed at 21%, and a final draw (X/X) at 16%. The chances of an away win at Full-Time are relatively low — totaling 13% (1/2=1%, X/2=9%, 2/2=3%) — which correlates with Tolima’s lower xG of 1.09, only 3.71 shots on target and very poor second-half effectiveness (0.14).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Deportes Tolima is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Deportivo Pasto · 2.2 pts / game - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Deportivo Pasto · 1.6 goals / game - Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Deportivo Pasto · 0.87 goals / game - Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).
Deportes Tolima scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Pasto
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Deportivo Pasto · 1.67 pts / game - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Pasto | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.53 | 2.48 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Pasto's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Deportes Tolima. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Pasto 1:0 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pasto and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 1, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.40 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.60. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Deportivo Pasto's matches and 53% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Deportivo Pasto and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Pasto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The statistical background for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.