Paraguay - Division ProfesionalData current as of October 17, 2026

Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics

Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Deportivo Recoleta played against Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on September 3, 2026. Final score: 1:3.

Recent form

Deportivo Recoleta has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Cerro Porteño has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 1.62. Cerro Porteño scores 1.36 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 76% of Deportivo Recoleta's games and 43% of Cerro Porteño's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 39%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cerro Porteño has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.28 per game. Deportivo Recoleta takes 11.6 shots per game, while Cerro Porteño takes 13.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Deportivo Recoleta leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Deportivo Recoleta's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Cerro Porteño, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Profesional games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Deportivo Recoleta are in a clearly weaker run of form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 5 goals and conceding 11. Over the same period, Cerro Porteño collected 7 points, while their defense conceded only 4 goals, although their attack was also inefficient, with just 4 goals scored. The hosts’ advantage lies in their home record, winning 47% of matches, averaging 1.80 goals and 5.36 shots on target per game, compared with Cerro’s 1.31 goals and 38% away-win rate. However, the visitors have been defensively superior over the season as a whole, conceding 26 goals in 27 matches compared with Recoleta’s 47 in 29 appearances. Similar xG figures in this matchup—1.47 for the hosts and 1.43 for the visitors—combined with both teams’ limited attacking efficiency in recent weeks point to a draw as the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal points to a scenario in which one of the teams fails to score, as Deportivo Recoleta recorded BTTS in only 29% of matches, well below the league average of 52%. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 57% of games and conceded just 0.57 goals on average, limiting Cerro Porteño’s chances of scoring. The visitors’ attacking form is also unconvincing: across their last five matches, they scored a total of 4 goals, averaging 0.8 per game, with an xG of 1.06. Recoleta did concede 2.2 goals per match over the same period, and their latest BTTS rate was 60%, but their season-long defensive solidity and the hosts’ low overall BTTS rate remain stronger arguments in favor of the “BTTS - No” pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal comes from the low goal line: Deportivo Recoleta matches have never produced more than 3 goals, and 100% of this team’s games finished with fewer than 3.5 goals. Cerro Porteño also have 69% of matches ending with a maximum of three goals, supporting a controlled-game scenario. The hosts have conceded an average of just 0.57 goals over the season and kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches, although their last five games have been noticeably weaker defensively, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded. Both teams’ current attacking output is limited: Deportivo scored 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches, while Cerro averaged 0.8, with a combined projection of 2.25 goals. The Under 3.5 line therefore has a clear edge, as it requires four goals to be scored, while the season data and current form more often point to a result in the 1–3 goal range.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Deportivo Recoleta has a clearly superior home profile: they score an average of 1.43 goals, concede only 0.57, and win 57% of their matches, while Cerro Porteño lose 46% of their away games and allow opponents to score 1.38 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 57% of matches, or 8 times, whereas the visitors were level at half-time in as many as 62% of cases and led in only 23%. Recoleta protect the opening stages of matches very effectively, conceding an average of 0.21 goals before half-time compared with Cerro Porteño’s 0.46. After the interval, the hosts still maintain a positive goal balance and collect 1.57 points per match, while their opponents concede an average of 0.92 goals during that period. Recoleta’s weaker run over their last five matches, featuring 4 defeats, increases the chances of a draw or a turnaround, but their long-term home advantage provides the strongest support for the 1/1 outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 3
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
12Shots12
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
2Shots on target6
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.23xG1.62
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
6Corners3
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
45Dangerous attacks60
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
12Fouls9
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
2Cards0
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.59Goals scored / game1.36
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.62Goals allowed / game0.96
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
51%Average possession56%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
4.31Shots on target / game4.89
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.59Shots per game13.54
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
4.31Shots on target4.89
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
13.7%Shot conversion10%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
51%Possession56%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.28xG for1.45
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.58xG against1.17
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Shooting quality

Deportivo Recoleta: Efficient finishingCerro Porteño: Balanced
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cerro Porteño is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.4 pts / game - Cerro Porteño

Deportivo Recoleta
WWLLL
Season result split
34% W17% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-14
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Cerro Porteño
WLWLD
Season result split
46% W21% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-9
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Recoleta is 17% better for: goals scored per game.

1.59 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.36 goals / game - Cerro Porteño

Cerro Porteño is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.62 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 0.96 goals / game - Cerro Porteño

Deportivo Recoleta scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Recoleta scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 games), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 games).

Cerro Porteño scoring profile: very strong

Cerro Porteño scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 games), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).

46Goals scored (season)38
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
47Goals conceded (season)27
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
3.21Average goals per game2.32
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal75%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
41%2 goals39%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
17%3 goals18%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
7%4 goals4%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal57%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
52%2 goals36%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
21%3 goals4%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
3%4 goals0%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

76%
Deportivo Recoleta - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.22 of 29 games
53%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time14%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
14%BTTS in both halves4%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
24%Scored in both halves18%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
100%BTTS - last 540%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Porteño is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.61 pts / game - Cerro Porteño

Deportivo Recoleta - half-time state
28% leading45% draw28% trailing
Cerro Porteño - half-time state
39% leading43% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per game (1st half)1.61
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
0.66Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.07
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
41%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
45%No goal before half-time50%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per game (2nd half)1.32
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
38%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño
41%No goal after half-time57%
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteño

Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results

38% W34% D28% L
37
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cerro Porteño - second-half results

32% W36% D32% L
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Deportivo Recoleta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cerro Porteño - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Deportivo Recoleta
ScoredConceded
9
9
0-15
3
6
16-30
7
6
31-45
12
10
46-60
9
4
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Cerro Porteño
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
7
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Deportivo Recoleta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Cerro Porteño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Deportivo RecoletaLigaCerro Porteño
Average goals per game▲ 3.212.46▼ 2.32
Both teams scored▲ 76%53%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 69%46%▼ 39%
Clean sheets▼ 14%28%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%65%▲ 68%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%80%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Deportivo RecoletaYellow cardWilfrido Manuel Báez Matto
  2. Deportivo RecoletaSubstitutionOn: Juan Alexander Franco NúñezOff: Fernando Carlos Galeano Silva
  3. Cerro PorteñoSubstitutionOn: Cristhian Fabián Paredes MacielOff: Ariel Gamarra
  4. Cerro PorteñoSubstitutionOn: Derlis Osmar Rodríguez MacielOff: Ignacio Aliseda
  5. Deportivo RecoletaSubstitutionOn: Blas Marcelo Medina RojasOff: Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza
  6. Deportivo RecoletaSubstitutionOn: Richart OrtizOff: Luis Carlos Cardozo Espillaga
  7. Deportivo RecoletaYellow cardJosé Antonio Espínola Núñez
  8. Cerro PorteñoSubstitutionOn: Jonathan TorresOff: Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses against Cerro Porteño. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Deportivo Recoleta
2 : 1
Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
2 : 0
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Cerro Porteño
2 : 0
CD Recoleta
CD Recoleta
1 : 3
Club Cerro Porteño
CD Recoleta
1 : 3
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño
2 : 1
CD Recoleta

FAQ

What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?

The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 1:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 1, Cerro Porteño won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?

Deportivo Recoleta score 1.59 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.36. The Division Profesional average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 43% of Cerro Porteño's.

What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño in?

Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.