Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Deportivo Recoleta played against Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on September 3, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Deportivo Recoleta has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Cerro Porteño has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 1.62. Cerro Porteño scores 1.36 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 76% of Deportivo Recoleta's games and 43% of Cerro Porteño's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 39%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cerro Porteño has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.28 per game. Deportivo Recoleta takes 11.6 shots per game, while Cerro Porteño takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Deportivo Recoleta leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Deportivo Recoleta's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Cerro Porteño, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Recoleta are in a clearly weaker run of form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 5 goals and conceding 11. Over the same period, Cerro Porteño collected 7 points, while their defense conceded only 4 goals, although their attack was also inefficient, with just 4 goals scored. The hosts’ advantage lies in their home record, winning 47% of matches, averaging 1.80 goals and 5.36 shots on target per game, compared with Cerro’s 1.31 goals and 38% away-win rate. However, the visitors have been defensively superior over the season as a whole, conceding 26 goals in 27 matches compared with Recoleta’s 47 in 29 appearances. Similar xG figures in this matchup—1.47 for the hosts and 1.43 for the visitors—combined with both teams’ limited attacking efficiency in recent weeks point to a draw as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to a scenario in which one of the teams fails to score, as Deportivo Recoleta recorded BTTS in only 29% of matches, well below the league average of 52%. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 57% of games and conceded just 0.57 goals on average, limiting Cerro Porteño’s chances of scoring. The visitors’ attacking form is also unconvincing: across their last five matches, they scored a total of 4 goals, averaging 0.8 per game, with an xG of 1.06. Recoleta did concede 2.2 goals per match over the same period, and their latest BTTS rate was 60%, but their season-long defensive solidity and the hosts’ low overall BTTS rate remain stronger arguments in favor of the “BTTS - No” pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal comes from the low goal line: Deportivo Recoleta matches have never produced more than 3 goals, and 100% of this team’s games finished with fewer than 3.5 goals. Cerro Porteño also have 69% of matches ending with a maximum of three goals, supporting a controlled-game scenario. The hosts have conceded an average of just 0.57 goals over the season and kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches, although their last five games have been noticeably weaker defensively, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded. Both teams’ current attacking output is limited: Deportivo scored 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches, while Cerro averaged 0.8, with a combined projection of 2.25 goals. The Under 3.5 line therefore has a clear edge, as it requires four goals to be scored, while the season data and current form more often point to a result in the 1–3 goal range.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportivo Recoleta has a clearly superior home profile: they score an average of 1.43 goals, concede only 0.57, and win 57% of their matches, while Cerro Porteño lose 46% of their away games and allow opponents to score 1.38 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 57% of matches, or 8 times, whereas the visitors were level at half-time in as many as 62% of cases and led in only 23%. Recoleta protect the opening stages of matches very effectively, conceding an average of 0.21 goals before half-time compared with Cerro Porteño’s 0.46. After the interval, the hosts still maintain a positive goal balance and collect 1.57 points per match, while their opponents concede an average of 0.92 goals during that period. Recoleta’s weaker run over their last five matches, featuring 4 defeats, increases the chances of a draw or a turnaround, but their long-term home advantage provides the strongest support for the 1/1 outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Recoleta | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cerro Porteño is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.4 pts / game - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Recoleta is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.59 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.36 goals / game - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.62 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 0.96 goals / game - Cerro Porteño
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 games), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 games).
Cerro Porteño scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 games), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.61 pts / game - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Recoleta | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.21 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses against Cerro Porteño. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 1:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 1, Cerro Porteño won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.59 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.36. The Division Profesional average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 43% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


