Deportivo Santaní vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics

Deportivo Santaní sit 4th, while Sportivo Carapeguá are seventh, and the hosts have won 10 of their 18 matches this season compared with the visitors’ 7 victories. Santaní’s form is excellent: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in the process, whereas Carapeguá have netted 7 during the same period. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.60 and allow opponents just 0.89 goals per match, keeping a clean sheet in 56% of games. Away from home, the visitors concede as many as 2.11 goals per match, allow an xG of 1.84 and have kept a clean sheet in only 22% of fixtures. Carapeguá can be effective in front of goal, having failed to score in just 22% of their away matches, but the hosts’ advantage in defensive solidity, chance quality and current form points to a Santaní win.

Both teams have recorded the same percentage of matches with goals scored by both sides this season: 56%, exactly matching the league average. Sportivo Carapeguá particularly supports the BTTS scenario from a defensive perspective, conceding an average of 2.11 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in only 22% of games. Deportivo Santaní are in very good offensive form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, with an xG of 2.05. The visitors averaged 1.4 goals scored during this period and posted an xG of 1.45, giving them genuine arguments against a home defense that concedes 1.11 goals per match over the season. However, the BTTS - Yes signal is not decisive, as Santaní kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches, while BTTS occurred in only 40% of the hosts' last five games. Therefore, the advantage for the "Yes" selection remains moderate.

Deportivo Santaní have averaged 2.6 goals and generated 2.05 xG over their last five matches, clearly exceeding their season average of 1.22 goals. Sportivo Carapeguá concede an average of 2.11 goals away from home, while their season xG conceded stands at 1.84, giving the hosts a solid foundation to score at least once. The visitors themselves generate an average of 1.45 xG and register 3.89 shots on target per match, although Santaní’s defense has been relatively stable, allowing an average of 1.02 xG. The 1.5 line has been surpassed in 78% of Santaní’s matches and 67% of Carapeguá’s games, while the projected total of 2.80 goals further strengthens the case for Over 1.5.

Deportivo Santaní has a clear advantage in the first halves: they have led at the break in 56% of their matches, while Carapeguá have never taken the lead and have gone into half-time trailing in 56% of their games. The hosts average 0.67 goals before the break, while the visitors concede as many as 1.22 during this period, supporting a scenario in which Santaní are ahead after 45 minutes. Across the season, Santaní win 56% of their matches and concede an average of 1.11 goals, whereas Carapeguá win just 22% of their games and allow opponents to score 2.11 goals per match. In addition, the hosts are enjoying an excellent run of form, averaging 2.6 goals and winning 80% of their last five appearances. Carapeguá have shown solid recent form, but their weakness in the opening stages and away defensive record provide the strongest support for the HT/FT pick of Santaní leading at half-time and winning the match.