Derby County vs Ipswich Town: match statistics
Ipswich Town holds a clear advantage in the key statistics of this match. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with 14 wins, while Derby County sits in 7th position with only 12 wins this season. Ipswich dominates in terms of possession (59% vs 47%), shots on target per match (4.23 vs 3.47), and expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.25). Derby has a negative goal difference at home (-3), while Ipswich boasts a positive goal difference away (+3). The form of both teams is similar (2 points per match in the last 5 games), however, Ipswich's higher quality of play, better offensive statistics (1.46 goals per match away vs Derby's 1.2 at home) and more solid defense (1.23 goals conceded vs 1.4) point to an away win. Derby struggles with efficiency at home (only 27% win rate), which further strengthens the predictions in favor of Ipswich Town.
Derby County vs Ipswich Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Ipswich Town in Championship (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Derby County has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Ipswich Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.23. Ipswich Town scores 1.69 and allows 0.97. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Derby County's games and 59% of Ipswich Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 52%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ipswich Town has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.18 per game. Derby County takes 10.1 shots per game, while Ipswich Town takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Ipswich Town leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.07 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Ipswich Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ipswich Town holds a clear advantage in the key statistics of this match. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with 14 wins, while Derby County sits in 7th position with only 12 wins this season. Ipswich dominates in terms of possession (59% vs 47%), shots on target per match (4.23 vs 3.47), and expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.25). Derby has a negative goal difference at home (-3), while Ipswich boasts a positive goal difference away (+3). The form of both teams is similar (2 points per match in the last 5 games), however, Ipswich's higher quality of play, better offensive statistics (1.46 goals per match away vs Derby's 1.2 at home) and more solid defense (1.23 goals conceded vs 1.4) point to an away win. Derby struggles with efficiency at home (only 27% win rate), which further strengthens the predictions in favor of Ipswich Town.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ipswich Town is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Derby County · 1.69 goals / game - Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Derby County · 0.97 goals / game - Ipswich Town
Derby County scores in 93% of games (28 of 30 meczów), while Ipswich Town keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 meczów).
Ipswich Town scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Ipswich Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ipswich Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Ipswich Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.70 | 2.57 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ipswich Town. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:2 Ipswich Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
Derby County score 1.47 goals per game on average and Ipswich Town 1.69. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Derby County's matches and 59% of Ipswich Town's.
What form are Derby County and Ipswich Town in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ipswich Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.