Derby County vs Millwall: match statistics
Derby County vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Millwall in Championship (England). The game was played on December 10, 2025. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Derby County has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Millwall has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.47. Millwall scores 1.21 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Derby County's games and 42% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 47%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.08 per game. Derby County takes 9.1 shots per game, while Millwall takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Millwall is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Derby County · 2 pts / game - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.37 goals / game - Derby County · 1.21 goals / game - Millwall
Millwall is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - Derby County · 1.32 goals / game - Millwall
Derby County scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
Millwall scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.84 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 23% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:1 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Millwall?
Derby County score 1.37 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.21. The Championship average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Derby County's matches and 42% of Millwall's.
What form are Derby County and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Millwall 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Derby County vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.