Derby County vs Stoke City: match statistics
Derby County vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Stoke City in Championship (England). The game was played on October 17, 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Derby County has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Stoke City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.90. Stoke City scores 1.70 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Derby County's games and 80% of Stoke City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Derby County has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.22 per game. Derby County takes 12.3 shots per game, while Stoke City takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Stoke City leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Stoke City, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stoke City are 5th and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Derby County are 23rd and have not won during that period. The visitors scored 11 goals across those five games, compared with just 3 for the hosts, clearly highlighting Stoke's greater attacking efficiency. Derby are yet to win at home, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded there, while Stoke average 1.4 goals on the road. The hosts' opportunity lies in their opponents' defense: Stoke concede an average of 2 goals away from home, and opponents create chances worth 2.03 xG against them. Despite this weakness, the visitors' recent run and superior attacking efficiency make a Stoke win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is based primarily on Stoke recording BTTS in 100% of their away matches, while Derby did so in 50% of their home games. Derby average 2.0 goals at home, while Stoke concede 2.0 goals away and allow opponents chances worth 2.03 xG. The visitors also have grounds to find the net: they average 1.4 goals away from home and have scored 2.2 goals per match across their last five games. The risk for this pick is Derby’s recent drop in scoring, averaging just 0.6 goals across five matches, while Stoke have conceded 0.8 goals per game. Nevertheless, the hosts’ home scoring record, combined with neither team having failed to score in their respective home and away matches, gives the BTTS - Yes scenario the edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
More than 1.5 goals have been scored in 75% of Derby’s home matches and 100% of Stoke’s away matches, making this the strongest signal for this line. Derby average 2.0 goals at home, while Stoke concede 2.0 away; in addition, the visitors’ xG conceded stands at 2.03 per match. Stoke also have scoring potential: they average 1.4 goals away from home and have scored an average of 2.2 in their last five matches. Although Over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of Derby’s home matches and 80% of Stoke’s away matches, Derby’s recent scoring rate of 0.6 goals per match increases the risk with the higher line. Therefore, with a forecast of 3.05 goals, Over 1.5 goals offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Stoke to lead at the break comes from the last five matches: the visitors led in four of them and did not concede a first-half goal in any, while Derby were trailing at half-time three times. Stoke won four of those five matches, whereas Derby failed to win any, scoring an average of 0.6 goals compared with their opponents’ 2.2. This supports the visitors maintaining their advantage and makes 2/2 the pick. However, the risk of a turnaround is significant: Derby have won 75% of their home matches, while Stoke concede an average of 1.4 goals away from home after the break. Therefore, 2/2 is the most likely single scenario, although its edge over 1/1 remains slight.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stoke City is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Derby County · 2 pts / game - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stoke City is 89% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Derby County · 1.7 goals / game - Stoke City
Stoke City is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.9 goals / game - Derby County · 1.6 goals / game - Stoke City
Derby County scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Stoke City scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Derby County · 1.9 pts / game - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.80 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 20% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Stoke City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 0:1 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Stoke City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 1, Stoke City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Stoke City?
Derby County score 0.90 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.70. The Championship average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Derby County's matches and 80% of Stoke City's.
What form are Derby County and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Stoke City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Stoke City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Stoke City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.