Derby County vs Watford: match statistics
Derby County vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Watford in Championship (England). The game was played on November 22, 2025. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Derby County has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Watford has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.27. Watford scores 1.27 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Derby County's games and 67% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.03 per game. Derby County takes 8.5 shots per game, while Watford takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Derby County is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Derby County · 1.6 pts / game - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Derby County · 1.27 goals / game - Watford
Watford is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Derby County · 1.2 goals / game - Watford
Derby County scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
Watford scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.60 | 2.54 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Derby County 2:3 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Watford?
Derby County score 1.33 goals per game on average and Watford 1.27. The Championship average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Derby County's matches and 67% of Watford's.
What form are Derby County and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Watford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Watford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.